New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%New Mexico

52.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -111

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 75

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricSan Diego State

63.7MMH Power Index60.1

114.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

100.2Defensive Efficiency99.3

14.6Net Efficiency11.0

2.0Strength of Schedule3.8

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

70.7Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

10.3Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (114.8–110.3), net efficiency (14.6–11.0), recent form (8.3–0.4).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–100.2), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0), offensive rebounding (30.8–30.5).

Final

New Mexico

62—64

San Diego State

San Diego State by 2 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATSan Diego State

20-61FG23-56

33.0%FG%41.0%

7-213PT5-21

33.0%3PT%24.0%

15-28FT13-21

54.0%FT%62.0%

46Rebounds43

20Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists16

11Turnovers13

9Steals10

3Blocks3

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deyton Albury	G	26	7-10	2-2	4-6	3	1	0	0	20
Uriah Tenette	G	32	3-13	0-5	5-6	1	1	1	1	11
Tomislav Buljan	F	26	3-9	0-0	2-7	10	0	2	0	8
Luke Haupt	G	35	3-8	1-2	0-1	8	4	2	0	7
Tajavis Miller	G	12	1-2	1-2	3-5	2	0	0	0	6
JT Rock	C	14	1-5	1-1	1-3	5	0	0	0	4
Jake Hall	G	35	1-10	1-7	0-0	5	4	2	0	3
Antonio Chol	F	20	1-4	1-2	0-0	4	2	2	2	3

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Magoon Gwath	F	28	6-10	2-5	3-5	6	0	0	2	17
BJ Davis	G	25	2-7	0-3	8-12	6	6	3	0	12
Tae Simmons	F	19	4-5	0-0	0-2	8	1	0	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	32	3-9	1-7	0-0	7	3	4	0	7
Taj DeGourville	G	22	3-7	1-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	7
Sean Newman Jr.	G	16	2-6	0-0	2-2	2	1	2	0	6
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	32	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Miles Heide	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Pharaoh Compton	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Jeremiah Oden	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

93.7Offensive Efficiency96.7

96.7Defensive Efficiency93.7

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

38.5%Effective FG%45.5%

41.7%True Shooting %48.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

45.9%Free Throw Rate37.5%

34.4%3-Point Rate37.5%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.