Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Vermont

76.5%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -326

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 66

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreUMBC 74

Team Comparison

VermontMetricUMBC

53.1MMH Power Index59.1

112.2Offensive Efficiency113.0

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.0

7.5Net Efficiency14.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

65.4Tempo65.5

54.1%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

32.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

4.9Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

Vermont

59—74

UMBC

UMBC by 15 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATUMBC

25-59FG21-51

42.0%FG%41.0%

5-273PT10-26

19.0%3PT%38.0%

4-10FT22-26

40.0%FT%85.0%

30Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists6

8Turnovers9

2Steals3

3Blocks3

18Fouls8

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Long	G	31	7-14	3-8	0-0	4	0	2	1	17
TJ Hurley	G	33	5-12	1-8	0-2	2	1	0	0	11
Gus Yalden	F	24	5-13	0-4	1-2	5	0	0	0	11
Sean Blake	G	32	3-6	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	0	7
Lucas Mari	G	27	2-6	1-4	1-2	8	1	0	1	6
Noah Barnett	F	23	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Momo Nkugwa	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	1	2
Ben Johnson	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jackson Skipper	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	36	9-11	7-9	8-9	2	0	0	0	33
Ace Valentine	G	38	3-10	0-5	7-7	3	4	1	0	13
Josh Odunowo	F	25	1-3	0-0	6-6	5	1	0	1	8
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	34	3-10	1-4	0-0	10	0	0	2	7
Caden Diggs	F	25	3-5	0-1	1-4	6	0	2	0	7
Cougar Downing	G	6	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jah'Likai King	G	30	0-8	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Riley Jacobs	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

92.0Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency92.0

-23.4Net Efficiency23.4

46.6%Effective FG%51.0%

46.3%True Shooting %58.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

16.9%Free Throw Rate51.0%

45.8%3-Point Rate51.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

UMBC won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.