San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%San Diego State

75.6%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -310

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 73

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUtah State

60.1MMH Power Index65.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

99.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

11.0Net Efficiency16.6

3.8Strength of Schedule3.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%56.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

7.8Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.3), net efficiency (16.6–11.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–103.1), strength of schedule (3.8–3.5), recent form (0.4–0.3).

Final

San Diego State

62—73

Utah State

Utah State by 11 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUtah State

20-49FG30-65

41.0%FG%46.0%

5-163PT6-21

31.0%3PT%29.0%

17-24FT7-13

71.0%FT%54.0%

38Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists18

14Turnovers6

1Steals9

9Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	38	8-12	2-3	2-2	3	0	0	1	20
BJ Davis	G	30	4-8	1-2	5-6	4	1	0	0	14
Magoon Gwath	F	32	4-10	1-3	3-5	8	0	0	1	12
Miles Byrd	G	30	2-8	1-6	2-2	6	1	1	4	7
Tae Simmons	F	24	1-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	1	4
Taj DeGourville	G	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	5	0	1	2
Pharaoh Compton	F	10	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	1	2
Sean Newman Jr.	G	14	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	3	0	0	1
Jeremiah Oden	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	37	8-15	4-10	0-0	3	1	3	0	20
Mason Falslev	G	32	7-14	0-2	2-4	4	6	1	0	16
Drake Allen	G	30	5-10	1-3	2-4	6	3	1	0	13
Garry Clark	F	22	5-8	0-0	1-1	6	1	0	1	11
Adlan Elamin	F	24	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	5
Zach Keller	F	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Karson Templin	F	14	1-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Kolby King	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	0	2
Elijah Perryman	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	3	2	0	0
Tucker Anderson	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

94.9Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency94.9

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

45.9%Effective FG%50.8%

51.3%True Shooting %51.3%

21.7%Turnover Rate9.1%

49.0%Free Throw Rate20.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate32.3%

0.71Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Utah State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.