Houston

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Houston

72.0%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -257

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston 71

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreArizona 78

Team Comparison

HoustonMetricArizona

76MMH Power Index79.9

118.4Offensive Efficiency120.3

95.9Defensive Efficiency96.9

22.5Net Efficiency23.4

5.9Strength of Schedule8.0

18.9Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

65.2Tempo71.6

52.3%Effective FG%55.0%

12.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

26.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

14.7Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–76.0), offensive efficiency (120.3–118.4), net efficiency (23.4–22.5), strength of schedule (8.0–5.9).

Houston COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.9–96.9), recent form (18.9–17.0), ball security (12.9–15.1).

Final

Houston

74—79

Arizona

Arizona by 5 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HoustonTEAM STATArizona

28-64FG25-54

44.0%FG%46.0%

8-213PT6-13

38.0%3PT%46.0%

10-14FT23-27

71.0%FT%85.0%

34Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists9

8Turnovers8

4Steals2

3Blocks2

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Tugler	F	35	9-15	0-0	2-3	10	3	1	1	20
Mercy Miller	G	21	5-8	2-2	1-2	7	1	0	0	13
Emanuel Sharp	G	26	3-9	2-7	2-2	1	0	1	0	10
Chase McCarty	F	19	3-6	2-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Kingston Flemings	G	34	3-12	0-2	2-2	5	7	0	0	8
Milos Uzan	G	31	3-9	1-4	1-1	1	2	0	0	8
Chris Cenac Jr.	F	19	2-4	1-2	0-2	4	0	2	1	5
Kalifa Sakho	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Burries	G	33	6-10	2-5	7-7	2	3	1	0	21
Koa Peat	F	27	7-15	0-0	7-11	6	2	1	1	21
Jaden Bradley	G	35	4-10	2-2	3-3	5	2	0	0	13
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	36	4-9	2-3	2-2	7	1	0	0	12
Motiejus Krivas	C	25	2-3	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	1	6
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	23	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Tobe Awaka	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Dwayne Aristode	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sidi Gueye	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

112.5Offensive Efficiency120.1

120.1Defensive Efficiency112.5

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

50.0%Effective FG%51.9%

52.4%True Shooting %59.1%

12.2%Turnover Rate12.2%

21.9%Free Throw Rate50.0%

32.8%3-Point Rate24.1%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Arizona won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.