UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%UConn

62.7%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -168

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 71

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSt. John's 76

Team Comparison

UConnMetricSt. John's

70.2MMH Power Index70.3

116.3Offensive Efficiency114.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency97.6

17.9Net Efficiency16.8

6.3Strength of Schedule5.5

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

66.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate41.1%

11.8Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

UConn

52—72

St. John's

St. John's by 20 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATSt. John's

19-56FG27-56

34.0%FG%48.0%

3-193PT5-20

16.0%3PT%25.0%

11-14FT13-17

79.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds30

17Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists13

16Turnovers8

6Steals10

2Blocks8

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	29	8-17	0-0	1-2	7	0	0	1	17
Alex Karaban	F	36	3-8	1-5	0-0	5	5	0	0	7
Silas Demary Jr.	G	31	1-6	0-2	4-4	2	2	2	1	6
Eric Reibe	C	11	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Braylon Mullins	G	26	2-9	1-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	5
Malachi Smith	G	10	1-3	0-1	3-5	2	1	2	0	5
Solo Ball	G	30	1-7	0-4	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Jayden Ross	F	24	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Uroš Paunovic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Furphy	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Alec Millender	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Hopkins	F	38	7-9	2-2	2-4	5	2	1	0	18
Zuby Ejiofor	F	33	7-11	2-3	2-2	9	2	3	7	18
Oziyah Sellers	G	20	4-8	1-2	5-5	1	0	1	0	14
Dillon Mitchell	F	39	4-5	0-0	1-2	9	3	2	1	9
Dylan Darling	G	23	3-11	0-6	2-2	1	5	3	0	8
Ian Jackson	G	15	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Joson Sanon	G	16	1-6	0-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Ruben Prey	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

82.7Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency82.7

-31.8Net Efficiency31.8

36.6%Effective FG%52.7%

41.5%True Shooting %56.2%

26.0%Turnover Rate12.5%

25.0%Free Throw Rate30.4%

33.9%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

St. John's won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.