California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%California Baptist

64.5%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -182

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 70

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 76

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUtah Valley

58.3MMH Power Index59.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency113.4

99.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.5Net Efficiency16.1

1.8Strength of Schedule-3.3

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

68.2Tempo70.6

48.8%Effective FG%56.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–58.3), offensive efficiency (113.4–106.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.0), net efficiency (16.1–7.5).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.3), recent form (11.0–6.8), ball security (17.9–19.9).

Final

California Baptist

63—61

Utah Valley

California Baptist by 2 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUtah Valley

22-58FG22-50

38.0%FG%44.0%

9-263PT3-8

35.0%3PT%38.0%

10-11FT14-24

91.0%FT%58.0%

35Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists11

13Turnovers14

7Steals6

2Blocks3

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	40	7-25	5-13	4-4	1	3	2	1	23
Bradey Henige	F	21	4-4	0-0	3-3	4	0	0	0	11
Jonathan Griman	F	13	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Martel Williams	G	39	3-9	1-4	1-2	7	3	1	0	8
Jayden Jackson	G	37	1-9	1-6	2-2	4	2	0	0	5
Jordan Muller	G	21	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	1	3
Devon Malcolm	F	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	3
Thomas Ndong	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	0
Miles Daniels	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Holcombe	G	31	6-12	0-0	6-12	3	1	2	1	18
Isaac Davis	F	31	5-14	0-0	2-3	6	0	2	0	12
Braden Housley	G	27	2-4	1-1	2-4	2	2	0	0	7
Trevan Leonhardt	G	40	3-6	0-1	0-0	10	8	1	0	6
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	31	2-7	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Tyler Weaver	F	10	0-0	0-0	4-5	1	0	0	0	4
Isaac Hawkins	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Hayden Welling	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Noah Taitz	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

95.0Offensive Efficiency92.0

92.0Defensive Efficiency95.0

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

45.7%Effective FG%47.0%

49.8%True Shooting %49.7%

19.6%Turnover Rate21.1%

19.0%Free Throw Rate48.0%

44.8%3-Point Rate16.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.