Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Pennsylvania

87.0%Yale

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADYale -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEYale -669

Yale

23-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 69

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreYale 82

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricYale

52.9MMH Power Index65.4

108.6Offensive Efficiency121.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.2Net Efficiency15.6

1.9Strength of Schedule1.6

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.9

69.9Tempo64.5

50.9%Effective FG%56.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %33.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Yale HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMYale holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.4–52.9), offensive efficiency (121.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.4), net efficiency (15.6–2.2).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.9–1.6), free throw rate (36.3–34.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

88—84

Yale

Pennsylvania by 4 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATYale

29-64FG31-71

45.0%FG%44.0%

14-283PT9-24

50.0%3PT%38.0%

16-16FT13-17

100.0%FT%76.0%

37Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds17

17Assists23

13Turnovers9

5Steals9

4Blocks4

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Power	F	43	14-26	7-14	9-9	14	2	1	1	44
Cam Thrower	G	29	6-10	4-6	3-3	4	1	0	0	19
AJ Levine	G	31	3-11	1-3	2-2	2	6	4	0	9
Michael Zanoni	F	38	2-5	2-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Augustus Gerhart	F	33	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Lucas Lueth	F	27	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2	2
Jay Jones	G	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Dalton Scantlebury	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Niklas Polonowski	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevor Mullin	G	33	6-17	2-9	8-8	3	4	1	0	22
Nick Townsend	F	42	7-14	1-3	2-3	7	6	2	0	17
Casey Simmons	G	40	8-10	1-1	0-2	3	1	0	0	17
Isaac Celiscar	F	36	6-13	3-5	2-2	11	5	0	1	17
Riley Fox	F	9	2-5	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Devon Arlington	G	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jordan Brathwaite	G	30	1-8	0-2	0-0	5	2	2	0	2
Samson Aletan	C	23	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	3	2	3	1

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

121.5Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency121.5

5.5Net Efficiency-5.5

56.3%Effective FG%50.0%

61.5%True Shooting %53.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate12.7%

25.0%Free Throw Rate23.9%

43.8%3-Point Rate33.8%

1.31Assist / Turnover2.56

Game Summary

Pennsylvania won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.