Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Dayton

76.0%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -317

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 71

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreVCU 79

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricVCU

59.9MMH Power Index65.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency116.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

7.0Net Efficiency13.1

5.7Strength of Schedule5.4

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

68.3Tempo69.5

52.0%Effective FG%53.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

47.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.8Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–108.5), net efficiency (13.1–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–103.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.4), recent form (6.4–6.0).

Final

Dayton

62—70

VCU

VCU by 8 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATVCU

23-53FG23-57

43.0%FG%40.0%

7-213PT11-24

33.0%3PT%46.0%

9-17FT13-19

53.0%FT%68.0%

39Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists12

11Turnovers5

3Steals9

4Blocks4

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	39	6-16	2-5	0-0	1	3	2	0	14
Amaël L'Etang	F	27	3-4	2-3	4-5	3	3	0	3	12
Jordan Derkack	G	28	4-13	0-5	1-4	10	4	0	0	9
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	31	3-8	2-5	0-1	8	1	0	0	8
Keonte Jones	G	32	3-6	0-2	1-3	9	2	1	1	7
Jaiun Simon	F	20	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Bryce Heard	G	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Jacob Conner	F	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Malcolm Thomas	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nyk Lewis	G	33	5-10	4-5	3-5	11	1	1	0	17
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	33	6-15	1-6	1-2	1	2	2	0	14
Michael Belle	F	28	4-9	2-4	2-2	6	2	1	1	12
Tyrell Ward	G	20	3-6	1-2	1-4	4	1	3	3	8
Barry Evans	F	34	2-8	2-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Lazar Djokovic	F	11	0-1	0-0	6-6	3	1	0	0	6
Jadrian Tracey	G	22	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	5
Brandon Jennings	G	19	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

96.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency96.0

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

50.0%Effective FG%50.0%

50.8%True Shooting %53.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate7.7%

32.1%Free Throw Rate33.3%

39.6%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.45Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

VCU won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.