Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Incarnate Word

99.0%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -30.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -9900

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 59

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreDuke 89

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricDuke

44.6MMH Power Index81.7

112.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

0.8Net Efficiency27.0

-3.6Strength of Schedule7.8

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

66.3Tempo66.8

52.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate39.0%

0.5Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–44.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.0), defensive efficiency (95.2–111.2), net efficiency (27.0–0.8).

Final

Incarnate Word

46—72

Duke

Duke by 26 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATDuke

17-53FG24-55

32.0%FG%44.0%

5-233PT8-25

22.0%3PT%32.0%

7-12FT16-21

58.0%FT%76.0%

26Rebounds44

8Offensive Rebounds16

7Assists16

11Turnovers13

7Steals5

4Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Hayman	Forward	33	5-11	1-6	0-0	5	0	2	0	11
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	22	4-10	2-3	1-2	0	0	2	0	11
Jayden Williams	C	27	2-4	0-0	3-4	7	0	1	3	7
Davion Bailey	G	33	1-10	0-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	17	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Harrison Reede	G	6	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Lamin Sabally	F	24	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	1	2
Shon Robinson	Forward	13	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Ryan Van Eyck	Guard	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jordan Pyke	F	19	0-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	1
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Amani Drummond	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khaman Maluach	Center	22	6-7	0-0	5-6	7	0	0	0	17
Isaiah Evans	G	19	4-6	4-6	2-2	0	1	0	0	14
Kon Knueppel	Guard	24	2-6	2-4	4-4	3	1	1	0	10
Cooper Flagg	Forward	22	2-8	0-3	2-2	8	2	1	1	6
Sion James	Guard	18	3-4	0-1	0-3	8	3	0	0	6
Patrick Ngongba II	C	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	23	2-7	1-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Caleb Foster	G	19	1-6	0-1	2-2	2	4	2	0	4
Darren Harris	G	9	1-4	1-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Mason Gillis	Forward	19	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	5	0	0	0
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Neal Begovich	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

74.3Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency74.3

-42.0Net Efficiency42.0

36.8%Effective FG%50.9%

39.2%True Shooting %55.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate21.0%

22.6%Free Throw Rate38.2%

43.4%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Duke won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.