Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.6%Michigan

31.4%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL169.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -218

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 87

Projected Total169.8

Projected ScoreArkansas 82

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricArkansas

80.9MMH Power Index69.3

122.3Offensive Efficiency122.2

97.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

25.3Net Efficiency12.4

8.7Strength of Schedule8.6

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

71.8Tempo73.8

58.8%Effective FG%56.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

18.1Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–69.3), offensive efficiency (122.3–122.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–109.8), net efficiency (25.3–12.4).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHball security (12.2–16.4).

Final

Michigan

87—89

Arkansas

Arkansas by 2 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATArkansas

34-59FG33-66

58.0%FG%50.0%

8-183PT9-23

44.0%3PT%39.0%

11-18FT14-22

61.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds12

18Assists16

17Turnovers14

7Steals8

2Blocks3

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vladislav Goldin	Not Available	28	7-9	0-0	3-5	9	1	0	2	17
Danny Wolf	Center	33	6-11	0-2	2-3	9	9	0	0	14
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	29	6-13	0-2	1-2	3	2	2	0	13
Will Tschetter	F	18	4-5	3-4	2-2	0	0	0	0	13
Nimari Burnett	G	26	4-8	1-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	10
Tre Donaldson	G	31	3-7	1-3	2-4	2	3	3	0	9
Sam Walters	F	14	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Justin Pippen	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Rubin Jones	Guard	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	2	0	2

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Fland	G	37	6-18	2-7	6-6	1	7	2	0	20
D.J. Wagner	G	35	7-12	2-3	0-0	3	5	0	0	16
Trevon Brazile	F	26	6-8	1-3	2-6	6	1	3	1	15
Adou Thiero	Forward	22	6-9	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	13
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	26	3-6	0-0	5-8	7	0	2	2	11
Johnell Davis	Guard	32	2-8	1-4	1-1	4	1	0	0	6
Karter Knox	G	13	2-2	1-1	0-1	3	0	0	0	5
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Billy Richmond III	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

112.1Offensive Efficiency114.7

114.7Defensive Efficiency112.1

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

64.4%Effective FG%56.8%

64.4%True Shooting %58.2%

22.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

30.5%Free Throw Rate33.3%

30.5%3-Point Rate34.8%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.