California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%California Baptist

67.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.8

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -203

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 69

Projected Total144.8

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricSan Diego State

58.3MMH Power Index60.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency110.3

99.0Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.5Net Efficiency11.0

1.8Strength of Schedule3.8

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.2Tempo70.8

48.8%Effective FG%53.2%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

37.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.1Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–58.3), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.5), net efficiency (11.0–7.5), strength of schedule (3.8–1.8).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–99.3), recent form (11.0–0.4), offensive rebounding (37.0–30.8).

Final

California Baptist

75—81

San Diego State

San Diego State by 6 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATSan Diego State

29-64FG28-51

45.0%FG%55.0%

12-333PT9-17

36.0%3PT%53.0%

5-5FT16-20

100.0%FT%80.0%

31Rebounds23

17Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists19

13Turnovers7

3Steals6

1Blocks3

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	35	8-21	3-11	3-3	3	6	0	0	22
Kendal Coleman	Forward	27	4-9	3-7	2-2	3	1	0	0	13
Adam Moussa	Guard	25	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	5	1	0	10
Javonte Johnson	Guard	29	2-6	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Bradey Henige	F	20	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
AJ Braun	Forward	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Tylen Riley	G	10	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Sam Silverstein	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Mouhamadou Dioum	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jonathan Griman	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	31	5-9	4-6	5-6	1	2	1	0	19
Nick Boyd	G	32	5-11	2-3	4-7	4	8	1	0	16
Magoon Gwath	F	26	4-9	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	2	10
Miles Heide	F	17	5-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	23	3-5	0-1	2-2	1	3	0	1	8
Taj DeGourville	G	18	2-3	1-2	1-1	4	3	0	0	6
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	18	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Pharaoh Compton	F	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
BJ Davis	G	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

122.0Offensive Efficiency131.7

131.7Defensive Efficiency122.0

-9.8Net Efficiency9.8

54.7%Effective FG%63.7%

56.5%True Shooting %66.9%

20.8%Turnover Rate11.6%

7.8%Free Throw Rate39.2%

51.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.