North Dakota

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.3%North Dakota

27.7%UTSA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -261

UTSA

5-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 80

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreUTSA 74

Team Comparison

North DakotaMetricUTSA

43.7MMH Power Index30.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency99.0

110.2Defensive Efficiency115.0

-1.0Net Efficiency-16.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-1.2

-7.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.6

70.1Tempo70.2

50.1%Effective FG%45.9%

14.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

37.5%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-0.7Average Margin-11.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–30.5), offensive efficiency (109.2–99.0), defensive efficiency (110.2–115.0), net efficiency (-1.0–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-3.4), offensive rebounding (30.9–28.9).

Final

North Dakota

76—80

UTSA

UTSA by 4 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North DakotaTEAM STATUTSA

26-67FG31-65

39.0%FG%48.0%

9-293PT8-29

31.0%3PT%28.0%

15-30FT10-13

50.0%FT%77.0%

50Rebounds34

23Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists15

14Turnovers11

4Steals10

3Blocks2

12Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dariyus Woodson	F	25	6-14	5-12	4-6	5	0	0	1	21
Treysen Eaglestaff	F	34	5-12	3-7	1-4	3	3	0	0	14
Brian Mathews	Forward	18	6-9	0-0	1-4	7	0	0	0	13
Deng Mayar	F	26	3-6	1-3	3-4	11	1	1	0	10
Amar Kuljuhovic	G	22	4-7	0-0	2-4	11	2	1	0	10
Mier Panoam	G	33	1-9	0-3	4-8	5	7	1	2	6
Eli King	G	31	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
George Natsvlishvili	F	6	0-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mambourou Mara	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	36	11-17	1-3	5-5	0	2	3	0	28
Damari Monsanto	Guard	21	4-10	4-9	0-0	2	4	1	0	12
Marcus Millender	G	36	4-11	2-7	0-1	4	4	3	0	10
Raekwon Horton	Forward	32	3-7	1-2	2-3	4	1	0	0	9
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	27	4-8	0-2	0-0	11	1	0	2	8
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	26	2-8	0-5	2-2	3	0	3	0	6
Mo Njie	C	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Baboucarr Njie	F	8	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Nazar Mahmoud	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

103.7Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

45.5%Effective FG%53.8%

46.8%True Shooting %56.2%

19.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

44.8%Free Throw Rate20.0%

43.3%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

UTSA won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.