UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%UMBC

56.6%Howard

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHoward -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHoward -130

Howard

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 70

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreHoward 73

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricHoward

59.1MMH Power Index56.9

113.0Offensive Efficiency110.8

99.0Defensive Efficiency98.5

14.0Net Efficiency12.3

-5.6Strength of Schedule-7.1

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency21.5

65.5Tempo70.2

54.3%Effective FG%52.1%

14.3%Turnover Rate18.8%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

34.1%Free Throw Rate45.5%

9.1Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–56.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–110.8), net efficiency (14.0–12.3), strength of schedule (-5.6–-7.1).

Howard COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–99.0), offensive rebounding (37.0–25.2), free throw rate (45.5–34.1).

Final

UMBC

83—86

Howard

Howard by 3 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATHoward

29-56FG29-61

52.0%FG%48.0%

9-223PT10-21

41.0%3PT%48.0%

16-24FT18-25

67.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists14

9Turnovers8

6Steals3

2Blocks1

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	33	7-15	2-5	3-4	2	2	0	1	19
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	36	5-11	3-8	4-5	6	0	1	0	17
Caden Diggs	F	31	6-11	0-2	3-5	8	1	2	0	15
Ace Valentine	G	36	3-6	2-4	3-4	3	2	2	0	11
Cougar Downing	G	14	4-5	1-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	9
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	21	3-5	1-2	0-2	5	3	1	0	7
Riley Jacobs	F	7	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Josh Odunowo	F	21	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	1	2
Paul Greene	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Howard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ose Okojie	G	34	9-15	3-3	2-5	5	0	0	0	23
Bryce Harris	G	36	6-12	3-4	4-4	14	5	1	0	19
Cedric Taylor III	G	31	3-10	1-5	9-10	6	1	0	0	16
Travelle Bryson	F	10	5-7	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Cam Gillus	G	38	4-9	0-2	0-2	4	7	0	0	8
Alex Cotton	G	36	2-6	2-5	2-2	4	0	2	1	8
Isaiah Brown	G	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Calvin Robins Jr.	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Danas Kazakevicius	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

119.1Offensive Efficiency123.4

123.4Defensive Efficiency119.1

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

59.8%Effective FG%55.7%

61.6%True Shooting %59.0%

12.8%Turnover Rate11.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate41.0%

39.3%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Howard won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.