Texas

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Texas

58.5%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -141

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas 80

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreNC State 84

Team Comparison

TexasMetricNC State

61.6MMH Power Index60.1

119.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

110.1Defensive Efficiency108.6

9.5Net Efficiency9.8

5.3Strength of Schedule6.4

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.2Tempo70.2

55.1%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

44.3%Free Throw Rate35.7%

6.6Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Texas

68—66

NC State

Texas by 2 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TexasTEAM STATNC State

21-57FG23-59

37.0%FG%39.0%

5-173PT6-16

29.0%3PT%38.0%

21-29FT14-18

72.0%FT%78.0%

45Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists10

12Turnovers7

7Steals8

5Blocks5

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tramon Mark	G	33	7-14	2-5	1-2	5	2	2	2	17
Matas Vokietaitis	C	26	4-11	0-0	7-12	8	0	0	1	15
Dailyn Swain	G	38	2-9	1-3	8-9	8	4	2	1	13
Chendall Weaver	G	27	3-5	0-0	5-6	10	1	2	0	11
Jordan Pope	G	37	2-8	1-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Camden Heide	F	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Nic Codie	F	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Simeon Wilcher	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	39	8-18	3-6	2-2	3	1	0	1	21
Quadir Copeland	G	35	7-16	0-0	2-3	8	3	4	0	16
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	32	4-11	3-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Tre Holloman	G	25	1-4	0-2	6-7	2	4	2	1	8
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	23	2-6	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Matt Able	G	25	1-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	2	1	4
Musa Sagnia	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Terrance Arceneaux	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Scottie Ebube	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency100.4

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

41.2%Effective FG%44.1%

48.0%True Shooting %48.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate10.4%

50.9%Free Throw Rate30.5%

29.8%3-Point Rate27.1%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Texas won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.