Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.2%Pennsylvania

95.8%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -20.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2281

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 66

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreIllinois 87

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricIllinois

52.9MMH Power Index76.5

108.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

106.4Defensive Efficiency103.3

2.2Net Efficiency21.7

1.9Strength of Schedule6.7

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

69.9Tempo66.5

50.9%Effective FG%54.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.5Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–52.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–108.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–106.4), net efficiency (21.7–2.2).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.3–33.8).

Final

Pennsylvania

70—105

Illinois

Illinois by 35 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATIllinois

30-67FG37-74

45.0%FG%50.0%

9-303PT15-36

30.0%3PT%42.0%

1-2FT16-21

50.0%FT%76.0%

25Rebounds48

7Offensive Rebounds20

13Assists15

8Turnovers3

2Steals2

3Blocks2

22Fouls10

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Zanoni	F	30	9-18	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	20
Cam Thrower	G	24	6-10	1-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	14
Lucas Lueth	F	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	1	7
TJ Power	F	30	2-8	2-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
AJ Levine	G	19	2-10	1-7	0-0	3	4	0	0	5
Niklas Polonowski	F	15	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Dalton Scantlebury	C	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Johnnie Walter	F	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Augustus Gerhart	F	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jay Jones	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Alex Massung	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Michelangelo Oberti	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
William Kruse	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Mirkovic	F	28	11-17	4-7	3-4	17	3	0	0	29
Keaton Wagler	G	31	7-14	4-7	0-0	7	7	1	1	18
Kylan Boswell	G	27	5-9	1-3	2-3	3	1	0	0	13
Tomislav Ivisic	C	21	4-7	1-4	3-3	7	1	0	0	12
Ben Humrichous	F	20	4-9	4-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
Andrej Stojakovic	G	20	3-8	1-2	2-3	3	1	0	0	9
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	22	1-5	0-3	4-6	4	0	0	1	6
Brandon Lee	G	4	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
AJ Redd	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jake Davis	F	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Mihailo Petrovic	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Blake Fagbemi	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

102.9Offensive Efficiency154.4

154.4Defensive Efficiency102.9

-51.5Net Efficiency51.5

51.5%Effective FG%60.1%

51.5%True Shooting %62.5%

11.6%Turnover Rate4.5%

3.0%Free Throw Rate28.4%

44.8%3-Point Rate48.6%

1.63Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

Illinois won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.