VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%VCU

61.1%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -157

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 75

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Team Comparison

VCUMetricNorth Carolina

65.7MMH Power Index65.2

116.4Offensive Efficiency115.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency103.8

13.1Net Efficiency11.7

5.4Strength of Schedule7.6

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.5Tempo69.0

53.7%Effective FG%54.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate38.1%

9.1Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–65.2), offensive efficiency (116.4–115.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–103.8), net efficiency (13.1–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–5.4), shooting efficiency (54.6–53.7), ball security (13.9–15.1).

Final

VCU

82—78

North Carolina

VCU by 4 • 76.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATNorth Carolina

30-66FG29-70

45.0%FG%41.0%

11-263PT8-29

42.0%3PT%28.0%

11-16FT12-20

69.0%FT%60.0%

39Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists18

10Turnovers8

5Steals8

5Blocks1

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	40	13-23	7-10	1-2	5	5	0	0	34
Nyk Lewis	G	31	5-8	0-2	6-7	7	1	3	0	16
Lazar Djokovic	F	38	5-11	2-5	3-4	5	2	0	2	15
Michael Belle	F	31	3-5	1-1	1-3	7	1	0	1	8
Brandon Jennings	G	34	3-8	1-1	0-0	6	0	1	2	7
Barry Evans	F	23	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jadrian Tracey	G	15	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Tyrell Ward	G	13	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Henri Veesaar	C	42	9-18	3-6	5-9	10	4	1	0	26
Seth Trimble	G	43	5-11	1-4	4-7	8	6	5	0	15
Derek Dixon	G	41	4-12	3-7	0-0	5	6	0	0	11
Jarin Stevenson	F	31	4-9	1-3	2-3	5	0	0	1	11
Luka Bogavac	G	32	4-11	0-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	8
Zayden High	F	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Jonathan Powell	G	20	1-6	0-5	1-1	4	0	0	0	3
Jaydon Young	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.6Possessions76.6

107.0Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency107.0

5.2Net Efficiency-5.2

53.8%Effective FG%47.1%

55.7%True Shooting %49.1%

13.1%Turnover Rate10.5%

24.2%Free Throw Rate28.6%

39.4%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

VCU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.