North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%North Dakota State

84.7%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -554

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 70

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreMichigan State 81

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricMichigan State

59MMH Power Index69.8

115.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

100.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

14.6Net Efficiency15.5

-4.6Strength of Schedule7.2

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.6Tempo67.3

54.5%Effective FG%54.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.2%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

31.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

10.1Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–59.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–115.4), net efficiency (15.5–14.6), strength of schedule (7.2–-4.6).

North Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.8–101.5), recent form (14.3–9.5), shooting efficiency (54.5–54.1).

Final

North Dakota State

67—92

Michigan State

Michigan State by 25 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATMichigan State

25-57FG33-56

44.0%FG%59.0%

6-253PT10-20

24.0%3PT%50.0%

11-17FT16-18

65.0%FT%89.0%

23Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists26

12Turnovers12

6Steals5

1Blocks6

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	30	5-11	2-6	4-4	3	2	0	0	16
Trevian Carson	G	34	5-11	1-4	0-0	7	6	0	0	11
Treyson Anderson	F	19	4-9	0-3	2-6	1	2	1	0	10
Noah Feddersen	F	20	1-1	0-0	5-7	1	1	1	1	7
Andy Stefonowicz	G	35	3-8	0-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	6
Tay Smith	G	18	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Markhi Strickland	G	16	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Emil Skytta	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Riley Massey	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Riley Saunders	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Caleb Schoenrock	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Carson Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Majerle	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Cooper	C	30	7-9	0-0	6-6	10	3	0	1	20
Coen Carr	F	28	6-8	1-2	4-4	4	2	1	1	17
Cam Ward	F	16	6-6	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	2	13
Jaxon Kohler	F	26	4-9	3-6	1-2	9	2	1	0	12
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	32	2-6	1-2	2-2	2	11	0	0	7
Trey Fort	G	12	2-5	1-3	2-2	2	2	1	1	7
Jordan Scott	F	24	2-5	2-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Denham Wojcik	G	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Kur Teng	G	18	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Jesse McCulloch	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Colin Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

91.9Offensive Efficiency126.2

126.2Defensive Efficiency91.9

-34.3Net Efficiency34.3

49.1%Effective FG%67.9%

51.5%True Shooting %71.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.5%

29.8%Free Throw Rate32.1%

43.9%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.