South Florida

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%South Florida

57.9%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.4

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -138

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 81

Projected Total164.4

Projected ScoreLouisville 84

Team Comparison

South FloridaMetricLouisville

68.8MMH Power Index67.1

117.3Offensive Efficiency118.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency102.2

15.7Net Efficiency16.4

1.8Strength of Schedule6.0

19.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

74.5Tempo71.0

51.0%Effective FG%56.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

38.0%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.1%

11.7Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–67.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–102.2), recent form (19.7–1.4), ball security (14.9–16.8).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.3), net efficiency (16.4–15.7), strength of schedule (6.0–1.8).

Final

South Florida

79—83

Louisville

Louisville by 4 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South FloridaTEAM STATLouisville

30-77FG28-52

39.0%FG%54.0%

5-333PT13-25

15.0%3PT%52.0%

14-16FT14-25

88.0%FT%56.0%

37Rebounds41

18Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists17

9Turnovers22

15Steals5

3Blocks3

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	38	10-25	5-14	2-2	7	6	4	0	27
Izaiyah Nelson	F	35	9-17	0-2	4-4	9	1	2	3	22
Gavin Hightower	G	23	5-7	0-0	2-4	4	3	4	0	12
Josh Omojafo	G	23	1-5	0-2	4-4	7	0	0	0	6
Wes Enis	G	32	2-15	0-11	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Isaiah Jones	F	27	1-4	0-3	2-2	5	0	4	0	4
CJ Brown	G	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Daimion Collins	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	28	8-11	7-10	0-0	3	2	1	0	23
Ryan Conwell	G	37	5-14	2-7	6-9	4	6	1	0	18
J'Vonne Hadley	G	33	3-4	1-1	3-4	5	2	0	0	10
Sananda Fru	F	25	4-5	0-0	2-6	10	0	1	2	10
Vangelis Zougris	F	10	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Khani Rooths	F	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Adrian Wooley	G	30	1-5	1-3	1-4	2	1	0	0	4
Kobe Rodgers	G	20	1-3	0-1	2-2	6	5	2	0	4
Aly Khalifa	C	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

104.9Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.3Net Efficiency5.3

42.2%Effective FG%66.3%

46.7%True Shooting %65.0%

11.9%Turnover Rate29.4%

20.8%Free Throw Rate48.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Louisville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.