Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.6%Siena

97.4%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -23.1

PROJECTED TOTAL140.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -3746

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 59

Projected Total140.4

Projected ScoreDuke 82

Team Comparison

SienaMetricDuke

53.8MMH Power Index81.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

7.0Net Efficiency27.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule7.8

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

64.4Tempo66.8

50.7%Effective FG%56.9%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.9%Free Throw Rate39.0%

4.5Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–53.8), offensive efficiency (122.2–109.2), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.2), net efficiency (27.0–7.0).

Siena COUNTERS WITHball security (15.8–15.9).

Final

Siena

65—71

Duke

Duke by 6 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATDuke

25-65FG24-59

38.0%FG%41.0%

9-263PT5-26

35.0%3PT%19.0%

6-6FT18-21

100.0%FT%86.0%

31Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds16

15Assists11

6Turnovers8

5Steals3

2Blocks3

16Fouls10

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	40	7-20	3-12	4-4	4	2	2	0	21
Francis Folefac	F	40	7-16	2-4	2-2	7	2	0	0	18
Brendan Coyle	F	40	4-9	4-9	0-0	5	0	1	0	12
Justice Shoats	G	40	4-11	0-1	0-0	6	7	1	1	8
Riley Mulvey	C	40	3-9	0-0	0-0	6	4	1	1	6

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	39	4-11	1-5	13-14	13	3	0	1	22
Cayden Boozer	G	39	9-16	1-4	0-0	2	5	2	0	19
Isaiah Evans	G	32	6-14	2-8	2-3	10	1	0	0	16
Maliq Brown	F	26	3-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Dame Sarr	G	31	1-7	0-4	3-4	2	2	1	2	5
Nikolas Khamenia	G	24	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Darren Harris	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

104.8Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency104.8

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

45.4%Effective FG%44.9%

47.9%True Shooting %51.5%

9.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

9.2%Free Throw Rate35.6%

40.0%3-Point Rate44.1%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Duke won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.