Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Utah State

45.2%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -121

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 77

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreVillanova 76

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricVillanova

65.7MMH Power Index59.4

119.7Offensive Efficiency114.7

103.1Defensive Efficiency105.9

16.6Net Efficiency8.8

3.5Strength of Schedule4.4

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

68.6Tempo67.3

56.9%Effective FG%53.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

11.4Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–114.7), defensive efficiency (103.1–105.9), net efficiency (16.6–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.4–3.5), ball security (15.0–15.1).

Final

Utah State

86—76

Villanova

Utah State by 10 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATVillanova

28-51FG28-63

55.0%FG%44.0%

2-163PT14-30

13.0%3PT%47.0%

28-36FT6-13

78.0%FT%46.0%

37Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists16

9Turnovers9

4Steals6

—Blocks—

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	35	9-16	0-3	4-5	7	4	0	22
MJ Collins Jr.	G	36	7-12	1-4	5-9	4	1	1	20
Adlan Elamin	F	30	4-8	0-4	5-5	7	3	0	13
Drake Allen	G	33	3-6	1-3	4-6	3	6	3	11
Garry Clark	F	15	2-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	7
Kolby King	G	9	1-3	0-1	3-3	2	2	0	5
Karson Templin	F	24	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	4
Zach Keller	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	4
Elijah Perryman	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bryce Lindsay	G	37	9-18	6-11	1-3	3	3	1	25
Tyler Perkins	G	38	5-13	3-7	2-2	5	2	1	15
Duke Brennan	F	34	6-9	0-0	3-8	8	1	1	15
Malachi Palmer	G	21	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	1	1	11
Acaden Lewis	G	37	3-12	1-4	0-0	2	8	1	7
Devin Askew	G	25	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	3
Braden Pierce	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Chris Jeffrey	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

126.1Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency126.1

14.7Net Efficiency-14.7

56.9%Effective FG%55.6%

63.1%True Shooting %54.9%

13.2%Turnover Rate13.2%

70.6%Free Throw Rate20.6%

31.4%3-Point Rate47.6%

2.11Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Utah State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.