VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%VCU

84.7%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -554

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 72

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreIllinois 83

Team Comparison

VCUMetricIllinois

65.7MMH Power Index76.5

116.4Offensive Efficiency125.0

103.3Defensive Efficiency103.3

13.1Net Efficiency21.7

5.4Strength of Schedule6.7

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

69.5Tempo66.5

53.7%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

9.1Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–65.7), offensive efficiency (125.0–116.4), net efficiency (21.7–13.1), strength of schedule (6.7–5.4).

VCU COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (42.9–33.8).

Final

VCU

55—76

Illinois

Illinois by 21 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATIllinois

23-66FG28-58

35.0%FG%48.0%

7-323PT9-24

22.0%3PT%38.0%

2-6FT11-17

33.0%FT%65.0%

29Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists15

10Turnovers11

8Steals5

2Blocks7

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	37	7-16	3-9	0-0	7	1	1	0	17
Barry Evans	F	33	5-9	1-4	0-1	3	2	2	0	11
Tyrell Ward	G	25	5-12	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	1	11
Jadrian Tracey	G	21	3-13	1-6	0-1	3	0	3	0	7
Brandon Jennings	G	26	2-6	1-4	0-0	5	2	2	0	5
Lazar Djokovic	F	29	0-6	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Jordan Tillery	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Michael Belle	F	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keyshawn Mitchell	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jordann Dumont	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nyk Lewis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	26	7-12	0-2	7-9	4	1	0	1	21
Keaton Wagler	G	32	5-10	2-5	2-4	5	2	1	1	14
Tomislav Ivisic	C	22	6-10	2-5	0-0	11	2	0	1	14
Kylan Boswell	G	34	4-12	2-5	2-4	4	3	1	0	12
David Mirkovic	F	24	3-8	1-3	0-0	5	4	0	0	7
Ben Humrichous	F	27	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	3
Jake Davis	F	14	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	3
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	3	2
Mihailo Petrovic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Blake Fagbemi	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

83.3Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency83.3

-31.8Net Efficiency31.8

40.2%Effective FG%56.0%

39.9%True Shooting %57.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

9.1%Free Throw Rate29.3%

48.5%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Illinois won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.