Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Louisville

69.2%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -225

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 75

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricMichigan State

67.1MMH Power Index69.8

118.6Offensive Efficiency117.0

102.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

16.4Net Efficiency15.5

6.0Strength of Schedule7.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

71.0Tempo67.3

56.9%Effective FG%54.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.6%

11.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–67.1), defensive efficiency (101.5–102.2), strength of schedule (7.2–6.0), recent form (9.5–1.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.0), net efficiency (16.4–15.5), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.1).

Final

Louisville

69—77

Michigan State

Michigan State by 8 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATMichigan State

26-63FG26-55

41.0%FG%47.0%

13-373PT11-26

35.0%3PT%42.0%

4-6FT14-19

67.0%FT%74.0%

32Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists22

11Turnovers15

5Steals4

2Blocks5

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	34	7-15	5-11	2-4	4	4	0	0	21
Adrian Wooley	G	26	7-10	3-6	0-0	4	3	0	0	17
Isaac McKneely	G	35	3-9	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	9
Vangelis Zougris	F	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	8
Aly Khalifa	C	14	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
J'Vonne Hadley	G	30	1-8	0-4	0-0	3	4	1	0	2
Kobe Rodgers	G	24	0-3	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	0	2
Sananda Fru	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Khani Rooths	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Kasean Pryor	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	33	8-13	2-4	3-5	10	0	1	2	21
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	37	3-13	1-4	5-7	3	16	1	0	12
Trey Fort	G	19	3-5	3-5	3-3	5	1	1	0	12
Jaxon Kohler	F	28	3-9	2-7	2-2	6	1	0	0	10
Carson Cooper	C	30	4-6	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	1	9
Kur Teng	G	13	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	7
Jordan Scott	F	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	4
Cam Ward	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

103.0Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency103.0

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

51.6%Effective FG%57.3%

52.4%True Shooting %60.1%

16.7%Turnover Rate22.1%

9.5%Free Throw Rate34.5%

58.7%3-Point Rate47.3%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.47

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.