TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.9%TCU

95.1%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -19.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1941

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 65

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreDuke 84

Team Comparison

TCUMetricDuke

59.7MMH Power Index81.7

110.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.7Defensive Efficiency95.2

7.5Net Efficiency27.0

4.6Strength of Schedule7.8

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

70.2Tempo66.8

50.5%Effective FG%56.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

38.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

5.3Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–59.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–110.2), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.7), net efficiency (27.0–7.5).

TCU COUNTERS WITHball security (15.3–15.9).

Final

TCU

58—81

Duke

Duke by 23 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATDuke

23-69FG27-49

33.0%FG%55.0%

7-243PT7-21

29.0%3PT%33.0%

5-10FT20-23

50.0%FT%87.0%

25Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists17

8Turnovers17

12Steals5

3Blocks4

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Robinson	F	37	7-18	3-9	1-2	5	2	2	0	18
Xavier Edmonds	F	20	5-8	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	12
Brock Harding	G	36	3-8	2-3	0-0	3	4	5	0	8
Tanner Toolson	G	15	2-7	1-3	0-1	4	0	0	1	5
Jayden Pierre	G	33	2-10	0-4	0-0	1	6	2	0	4
David Punch	F	30	1-10	0-2	2-2	2	0	2	0	4
Jace Posey	G	2	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Vianney Salatchoum	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	15	0-4	0-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	1
Ashton Simmons	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kayden Edwards	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
RJ Jones	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	33	7-10	0-1	5-5	11	4	3	1	19
Isaiah Evans	G	29	6-14	2-8	3-4	3	1	0	0	17
Dame Sarr	G	29	4-8	4-7	2-2	8	1	2	1	14
Maliq Brown	F	26	4-5	0-0	4-5	9	1	0	1	12
Cayden Boozer	G	36	3-6	0-1	3-3	4	5	0	0	9
Nikolas Khamenia	G	26	1-4	1-4	3-4	1	0	0	0	6
Patrick Ngongba II	C	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	4	0	1	4
Darren Harris	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Scott	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

83.6Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency83.6

-33.1Net Efficiency33.1

38.4%Effective FG%62.2%

39.3%True Shooting %67.6%

11.3%Turnover Rate25.0%

14.5%Free Throw Rate46.9%

34.8%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Duke won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.