Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.0%Utah State

89.0%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -13.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -809

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 72

Projected Total157.3

Projected ScoreArizona 85

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricArizona

65.7MMH Power Index79.9

119.7Offensive Efficiency120.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency96.9

16.6Net Efficiency23.4

3.5Strength of Schedule8.0

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

68.6Tempo71.6

56.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%

11.4Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.3–119.7), defensive efficiency (96.9–103.1), net efficiency (23.4–16.6).

Utah State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.9–55.0).

Final

Utah State

66—78

Arizona

Arizona by 12 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATArizona

25-64FG22-56

39.0%FG%39.0%

8-323PT7-17

25.0%3PT%41.0%

8-11FT27-39

73.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds54

8Offensive Rebounds22

14Assists8

4Turnovers11

9Steals—

5Blocks5

25Fouls14

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Garry Clark	F	18	6-8	0-1	1-1	6	0	1	0	13
MJ Collins Jr.	G	38	4-14	2-7	2-2	3	3	0	0	12
Drake Allen	G	28	4-6	2-4	1-2	2	3	1	0	11
Mason Falslev	G	33	3-12	2-8	0-0	3	3	3	0	8
Adlan Elamin	F	25	1-4	0-2	4-4	2	1	0	3	6
Karson Templin	F	25	2-9	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	2	5
Kolby King	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-2	2	2	2	0	5
Elijah Perryman	G	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	4
Zach Keller	F	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Jaden Bradley	G	39	6-16	1-4	5-7	1	0	0	18
Brayden Burries	G	26	5-7	3-3	3-5	9	2	1	16
Koa Peat	F	32	4-7	0-0	6-9	10	1	1	14
Motiejus Krivas	C	32	2-7	0-1	7-8	14	2	3	11
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	37	3-11	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	9
Tobe Awaka	F	13	0-2	0-0	4-8	4	1	0	4
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	18	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	3
Dwayne Aristode	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

102.5Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency102.5

-18.6Net Efficiency18.6

45.3%Effective FG%45.5%

47.7%True Shooting %52.3%

6.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

17.2%Free Throw Rate69.6%

50.0%3-Point Rate30.4%

3.50Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Arizona won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.