Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Tennessee

63.2%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -172

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 73

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreVirginia 78

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricVirginia

68.6MMH Power Index68.9

115.8Offensive Efficiency119.0

102.1Defensive Efficiency101.8

13.7Net Efficiency17.2

7.8Strength of Schedule5.2

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.1Tempo67.6

51.6%Effective FG%55.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

38.6%Free Throw Rate33.2%

9.3Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–68.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–115.8), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.1), net efficiency (17.2–13.7).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.8–5.2), offensive rebounding (44.5–37.4), free throw rate (38.6–33.2).

Final

Tennessee

79—72

Virginia

Tennessee by 7 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATVirginia

26-55FG27-69

47.0%FG%39.0%

8-193PT12-35

42.0%3PT%34.0%

19-25FT6-11

76.0%FT%55.0%

39Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds16

20Assists12

10Turnovers7

4Steals5

6Blocks5

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	38	6-14	3-5	6-6	3	6	1	0	21
Nate Ament	F	29	4-11	1-3	7-8	4	0	1	1	16
Bishop Boswell	G	35	4-10	4-9	1-2	3	9	0	0	13
J.P. Estrella	F	20	4-4	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	0	10
Jaylen Carey	F	17	4-5	0-0	2-5	2	1	0	0	10
Felix Okpara	F	34	3-7	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	4	7
Amari Evans	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
DeWayne Brown II	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Ethan Burg	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Troy Henderson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thijs De Ridder	F	31	8-14	4-6	2-4	5	2	1	0	22
Malik Thomas	G	15	4-10	3-7	1-2	1	1	0	0	12
Jacari White	G	28	3-12	2-9	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Chance Mallory	G	25	4-7	1-3	1-3	6	0	2	0	10
Dallin Hall	G	30	3-10	1-4	0-0	7	7	1	0	7
Sam Lewis	G	22	2-9	1-5	0-0	2	0	1	1	5
Ugonna Onyenso	C	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	4
Johann Grunloh	C	21	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	2
Devin Tillis	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

120.4Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency120.4

10.7Net Efficiency-10.7

54.5%Effective FG%47.8%

59.1%True Shooting %48.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate10.7%

45.5%Free Throw Rate15.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate50.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.