Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Kentucky

86.4%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -635

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 70

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreIowa State 83

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricIowa State

63.9MMH Power Index75.9

115.2Offensive Efficiency119.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency96.0

8.9Net Efficiency23.3

8.7Strength of Schedule4.9

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.9Tempo68.4

53.2%Effective FG%56.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

38.0%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.2Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–63.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–115.2), defensive efficiency (96.0–106.3), net efficiency (23.3–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–4.9), free throw rate (38.0–35.2).

Final

Kentucky

63—82

Iowa State

Iowa State by 19 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATIowa State

21-45FG28-61

47.0%FG%46.0%

9-253PT9-28

36.0%3PT%32.0%

12-17FT17-24

71.0%FT%71.0%

30Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists17

20Turnovers7

4Steals12

3Blocks—

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denzel Aberdeen	G	37	6-14	4-9	4-5	1	1	0	0	20
Otega Oweh	G	36	8-15	1-5	1-2	8	0	2	0	18
Collin Chandler	G	30	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Kam Williams	G	19	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Malachi Moreno	C	18	0-0	0-0	4-6	6	3	0	0	4
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	4
Jasper Johnson	G	6	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Andrija Jelavic	F	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Brandon Garrison	F	22	0-1	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	1

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	37	8-15	3-6	7-8	3	10	5	26
Milan Momcilovic	F	36	6-12	4-9	4-5	5	1	2	20
Nate Heise	G	36	5-8	1-4	1-3	2	3	0	12
Killyan Toure	G	31	5-10	0-3	0-0	4	1	3	10
Blake Buchanan	F	31	3-8	0-1	3-4	8	2	2	9
Jamarion Batemon	G	16	1-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	3
Dominykas Pleta	F	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1
Dominick Nelson	G	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

90.9Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency90.9

-27.4Net Efficiency27.4

56.7%Effective FG%53.3%

59.3%True Shooting %56.6%

29.4%Turnover Rate9.9%

37.8%Free Throw Rate39.3%

55.6%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.55Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.