Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Arkansas

84.4%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL168.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -541

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 78

Projected Total168.6

Projected ScoreArizona 90

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricArizona

69.3MMH Power Index79.9

122.2Offensive Efficiency120.3

109.8Defensive Efficiency96.9

12.4Net Efficiency23.4

8.6Strength of Schedule8.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

73.8Tempo71.6

56.4%Effective FG%55.0%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate45.3%

9.2Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–69.3), defensive efficiency (96.9–109.8), net efficiency (23.4–12.4), recent form (17.0–3.4).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (122.2–120.3), strength of schedule (8.6–8.0), shooting efficiency (56.4–55.0).

Final

Arkansas

88—109

Arizona

Arizona by 21 • 80.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATArizona

31-65FG37-58

48.0%FG%64.0%

5-233PT5-8

22.0%3PT%63.0%

21-26FT30-39

81.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists19

9Turnovers12

9Steals3

5Blocks3

26Fouls16

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	37	8-19	1-5	11-14	3	3	1	0	28
Meleek Thomas	G	38	5-11	1-4	6-8	4	2	4	0	17
Billy Richmond III	G	29	6-10	1-2	0-0	5	3	1	0	13
Malique Ewin	F	31	2-4	0-0	4-4	5	3	1	3	8
Trevon Brazile	F	25	3-9	1-7	0-0	6	1	0	0	7
D.J. Wagner	G	17	3-8	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Nick Pringle	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	6
Isaiah Sealy	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Burries	G	34	7-11	2-4	7-8	5	2	0	0	23
Koa Peat	F	30	8-11	0-0	5-6	3	2	0	0	21
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	35	4-6	0-1	7-10	3	5	1	0	15
Jaden Bradley	G	33	4-8	1-1	5-6	4	5	0	0	14
Tobe Awaka	F	24	6-10	0-0	2-4	7	1	1	1	14
Motiejus Krivas	C	23	6-9	0-0	2-3	5	2	1	2	14
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	13	2-3	2-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Dwayne Aristode	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Sidi Gueye	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Evan Nelson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.0Possessions80.0

110.0Offensive Efficiency136.3

136.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

-26.2Net Efficiency26.3

51.5%Effective FG%68.1%

56.9%True Shooting %71.2%

11.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

40.0%Free Throw Rate67.2%

35.4%3-Point Rate13.8%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Arizona won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 80.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.