Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Illinois

61.1%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -157

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 71

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreHouston 75

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricHouston

76.5MMH Power Index76

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.3Defensive Efficiency95.9

21.7Net Efficiency22.5

6.7Strength of Schedule5.9

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

66.5Tempo65.2

54.8%Effective FG%52.3%

13.1%Turnover Rate12.9%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

33.8%Free Throw Rate26.9%

14.5Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–76.0), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.4), strength of schedule (6.7–5.9), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

Houston COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.9–103.3), net efficiency (22.5–21.7), recent form (18.9–12.7).

Final

Illinois

65—55

Houston

Illinois by 10 • 58.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATHouston

22-51FG22-64

43.0%FG%34.0%

9-233PT9-32

39.0%3PT%28.0%

12-21FT2-2

57.0%FT%100.0%

43Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists17

9Turnovers5

2Steals4

3Blocks2

14Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Mirkovic	F	34	6-13	2-6	0-2	10	2	0	1	14
Keaton Wagler	G	38	4-14	3-6	2-5	12	3	1	2	13
Andrej Stojakovic	G	28	5-8	1-3	2-2	0	2	1	0	13
Tomislav Ivisic	C	29	3-5	1-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	9
Kylan Boswell	G	30	0-5	0-1	6-10	4	2	0	0	6
Jake Davis	F	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Ben Humrichous	F	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emanuel Sharp	G	39	7-16	3-10	0-0	2	1	1	0	17
Kingston Flemings	G	37	4-10	1-3	2-2	6	4	0	0	11
Chase McCarty	F	20	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Milos Uzan	G	37	2-11	2-6	0-0	2	5	1	0	6
Chris Cenac Jr.	F	27	3-12	0-3	0-0	10	1	1	1	6
Joseph Tugler	F	25	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	5	0	1	6
Kalifa Sakho	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mercy Miller	G	7	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.5Possessions58.5

111.1Offensive Efficiency94.0

94.0Defensive Efficiency111.1

17.1Net Efficiency-17.1

52.0%Effective FG%41.4%

53.3%True Shooting %42.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate8.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate3.1%

45.1%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.44Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

Illinois won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 58.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.