Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Tennessee

79.0%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -376

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 70

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreIowa State 79

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricIowa State

68.6MMH Power Index75.9

115.8Offensive Efficiency119.3

102.1Defensive Efficiency96.0

13.7Net Efficiency23.3

7.8Strength of Schedule4.9

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

68.1Tempo68.4

51.6%Effective FG%56.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

38.6%Free Throw Rate35.2%

9.3Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–68.6), offensive efficiency (119.3–115.8), defensive efficiency (96.0–102.1), net efficiency (23.3–13.7).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.8–4.9), offensive rebounding (44.5–35.5), free throw rate (38.6–35.2).

Final

Tennessee

76—62

Iowa State

Tennessee by 14 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATIowa State

30-59FG21-54

51.0%FG%39.0%

7-223PT5-21

32.0%3PT%24.0%

9-15FT15-25

60.0%FT%60.0%

43Rebounds22

16Offensive Rebounds8

22Assists16

17Turnovers11

5Steals7

7Blocks—

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Ament	F	25	6-10	3-4	3-4	4	3	1	2	18
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	36	7-17	2-11	0-0	2	2	1	1	16
Felix Okpara	F	28	5-6	0-0	2-2	10	0	1	3	12
Jaylen Carey	F	22	5-6	0-0	1-1	10	4	1	0	11
J.P. Estrella	F	19	2-8	0-0	2-5	4	2	0	1	6
Bishop Boswell	G	28	1-3	1-2	1-3	4	8	1	0	4
DeWayne Brown II	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Amari Evans	G	14	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Ethan Burg	G	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	36	6-13	1-4	5-8	5	5	1	18
Nate Heise	G	34	5-12	1-6	7-9	5	0	1	18
Killyan Toure	G	34	4-9	1-1	0-0	4	3	2	9
Blake Buchanan	F	30	3-3	0-0	2-4	3	2	2	8
Milan Momcilovic	F	33	2-9	2-7	0-0	0	3	1	6
Jamarion Batemon	G	18	1-6	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	2
Dominykas Pleta	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-4	1	1	0	1
Dominick Nelson	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

111.8Offensive Efficiency91.2

91.2Defensive Efficiency111.8

20.6Net Efficiency-20.6

56.8%Effective FG%43.5%

57.5%True Shooting %47.1%

25.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate46.3%

37.3%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.