Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Michigan State

63.5%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -174

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 70

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreUConn 75

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricUConn

69.8MMH Power Index70.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency98.4

15.5Net Efficiency17.9

7.2Strength of Schedule6.3

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

67.3Tempo66.2

54.1%Effective FG%55.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

36.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

10.5Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–69.8), defensive efficiency (98.4–101.5), net efficiency (17.9–15.5), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.1).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.0–116.3), strength of schedule (7.2–6.3), recent form (9.5–9.4).

Final

Michigan State

63—67

UConn

UConn by 4 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATUConn

23-58FG24-52

40.0%FG%46.0%

4-163PT9-21

25.0%3PT%43.0%

13-18FT10-16

72.0%FT%63.0%

39Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists20

10Turnovers10

6Steals8

3Blocks6

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Cooper	C	28	5-8	0-0	4-5	7	3	0	2	14
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	36	5-15	1-3	2-3	3	7	3	0	13
Coen Carr	F	34	5-9	0-3	3-5	3	1	0	1	13
Jaxon Kohler	F	30	4-10	1-4	3-3	8	0	2	0	12
Jordan Scott	F	23	2-5	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Trey Fort	G	6	1-3	1-3	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Cam Ward	F	19	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Kur Teng	G	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	33	8-16	0-0	4-6	5	4	1	2	20
Alex Karaban	F	37	6-12	3-8	2-2	7	3	0	2	17
Solo Ball	G	32	4-8	2-5	2-2	0	1	0	0	12
Braylon Mullins	G	29	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Jaylin Stewart	F	3	1-2	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	1	4
Malachi Smith	G	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	7	4	0	3
Silas Demary Jr.	G	23	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	2
Jayden Ross	F	19	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	2	0	1
Eric Reibe	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

99.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency99.1

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

43.1%Effective FG%54.8%

47.3%True Shooting %56.2%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.7%

31.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

27.6%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UConn won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.