UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.3%UConn

85.7%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -12.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.1

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -599

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 66

Projected Total144.1

Projected ScoreDuke 78

Team Comparison

UConnMetricDuke

70.2MMH Power Index81.7

116.3Offensive Efficiency122.2

98.4Defensive Efficiency95.2

17.9Net Efficiency27.0

6.3Strength of Schedule7.8

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

66.2Tempo66.8

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

11.8Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–70.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–116.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–98.4), net efficiency (27.0–17.9).

Final

UConn

73—72

Duke

UConn by 1 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATDuke

28-64FG25-48

44.0%FG%52.0%

5-233PT6-15

22.0%3PT%40.0%

12-17FT16-22

71.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists17

5Turnovers13

7Steals4

8Blocks6

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	32	10-16	0-0	6-9	9	3	2	4	26
Silas Demary Jr.	G	23	4-9	2-5	1-2	5	2	1	1	11
Solo Ball	G	30	3-11	0-5	4-5	2	2	2	0	10
Braylon Mullins	G	26	4-10	1-5	1-1	1	0	0	0	10
Malachi Smith	G	18	4-7	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	9
Alex Karaban	F	38	2-10	1-6	0-0	3	3	0	2	5
Eric Reibe	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Jayden Ross	F	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Jaylin Stewart	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	39	10-21	1-4	6-8	8	4	0	2	27
Cayden Boozer	G	28	4-5	1-1	6-6	5	6	2	0	15
Dame Sarr	G	28	4-5	2-3	0-2	4	1	0	0	10
Isaiah Evans	G	29	2-6	1-4	2-2	0	0	0	2	7
Nikolas Khamenia	G	22	3-5	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	7
Patrick Ngongba II	C	22	2-4	0-2	2-4	5	3	1	1	6
Maliq Brown	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Caleb Foster	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Darren Harris	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

116.2Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency116.2

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

47.7%Effective FG%58.3%

50.6%True Shooting %61.6%

7.8%Turnover Rate21.2%

26.6%Free Throw Rate45.8%

35.9%3-Point Rate31.3%

3.20Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

UConn won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.