Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Illinois

45.2%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -121

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 74

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreUConn 74

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricUConn

76.5MMH Power Index70.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency98.4

21.7Net Efficiency17.9

6.7Strength of Schedule6.3

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

66.5Tempo66.2

54.8%Effective FG%55.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

33.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

14.5Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–70.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–116.3), net efficiency (21.7–17.9), strength of schedule (6.7–6.3).

UConn COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.4–103.3), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.8).

Final

Illinois

62—71

UConn

UConn by 9 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATUConn

19-56FG22-62

34.0%FG%35.0%

6-263PT12-33

23.0%3PT%36.0%

18-23FT15-17

78.0%FT%88.0%

44Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds10

3Assists14

8Turnovers4

2Steals6

6Blocks1

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	37	7-16	2-10	4-5	8	2	0	0	20
Tomislav Ivisic	C	33	4-11	2-7	6-6	7	0	1	1	16
Andrej Stojakovic	G	29	4-10	0-0	1-4	8	1	0	0	9
David Mirkovic	F	28	2-7	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	3	6
Kylan Boswell	G	24	1-6	0-1	4-4	6	0	0	0	6
Ben Humrichous	F	26	1-4	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	2	3
Jake Davis	F	17	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	35	6-12	0-0	5-5	11	0	0	0	17
Braylon Mullins	G	30	5-14	4-7	1-1	3	0	2	0	15
Solo Ball	G	28	5-11	3-7	0-0	0	2	0	0	13
Alex Karaban	F	35	1-8	1-7	6-6	4	4	1	1	9
Silas Demary Jr.	G	31	2-8	1-6	2-3	9	7	2	0	7
Jayden Ross	F	20	2-4	2-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	7
Jaylin Stewart	F	7	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Malachi Smith	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Eric Reibe	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

97.6Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency97.6

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

39.3%Effective FG%45.2%

46.3%True Shooting %50.7%

12.7%Turnover Rate6.2%

41.1%Free Throw Rate27.4%

46.4%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.38Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

UConn won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.