Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Cal Poly

71.3%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Francisco -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.3

MODEL MONEYLINESan Francisco -248

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Projected Total161.3

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 84

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricSan Francisco

46.5MMH Power Index50.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency110.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-3.8Net Efficiency2.2

1.7Strength of Schedule1.4

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

76.6Tempo67.6

52.2%Effective FG%51.9%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

35.8%Free Throw Rate40.5%

-2.9Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Francisco HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Francisco holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–46.5), offensive efficiency (110.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (108.2–111.0), net efficiency (2.2–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–1.4), recent form (2.4–-8.7), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.9).

Final

Cal Poly

78—86

San Francisco

San Francisco by 8 • 81.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATSan Francisco

26-64FG28-62

41.0%FG%45.0%

12-343PT7-28

35.0%3PT%25.0%

14-15FT23-28

93.0%FT%82.0%

36Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists15

19Turnovers15

12Steals12

2Blocks8

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	30	6-14	4-10	3-3	2	1	1	0	19
Owen Koonce	Guard	31	6-11	4-9	2-2	1	2	0	1	18
Kieran Elliott	G	25	5-12	0-1	3-3	6	2	0	0	13
Isaac Jessup	Guard	34	4-10	3-9	1-2	4	4	4	0	12
Mac Riniker	Guard	17	3-7	1-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	7
Luka Tarlac	G	24	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	3	1	4
Peter Bandelj	G	11	0-4	0-1	3-3	1	2	1	0	3
Ethan Menzies	Forward	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	3	1	0	2
Guzman Vasilic	G	6	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrone Riley IV	G	27	10-18	3-9	3-4	2	0	1	0	26
Malik Thomas	G	36	6-12	1-4	10-12	4	3	5	0	23
Marcus Williams	Guard	37	4-8	2-5	4-5	4	5	3	2	14
Ndewedo Newbury	F	29	2-7	0-2	2-2	4	4	2	3	6
Jason Rivera-Torres	F	17	2-6	0-1	2-3	8	3	0	1	6
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	16	2-5	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	1	4
James O'Donnell	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Veniamin Abosi	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Robby Beasley	Guard	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.2Possessions81.2

96.1Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency96.1

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

50.0%Effective FG%50.8%

54.8%True Shooting %57.1%

23.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

23.4%Free Throw Rate45.2%

53.1%3-Point Rate45.2%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 81.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.