Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%Tennessee

80.0%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -400

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 71

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 81

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricIllinois

68.6MMH Power Index76.5

115.8Offensive Efficiency125.0

102.1Defensive Efficiency103.3

13.7Net Efficiency21.7

7.8Strength of Schedule6.7

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

68.1Tempo66.5

51.6%Effective FG%54.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.6%Free Throw Rate33.8%

9.3Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–68.6), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.8), net efficiency (21.7–13.7), recent form (12.7–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–103.3), strength of schedule (7.8–6.7), offensive rebounding (44.5–39.3).

Final

Tennessee

66—64

Illinois

Tennessee by 2 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATIllinois

20-62FG15-51

32.0%FG%29.0%

6-243PT4-23

25.0%3PT%17.0%

20-28FT30-36

71.0%FT%83.0%

42Rebounds37

17Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists6

6Turnovers11

7Steals2

4Blocks1

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Gainey	Guard	34	6-14	3-6	8-9	2	2	1	0	23
Chaz Lanier	Guard	26	5-17	2-6	5-9	2	1	0	0	17
Igor Milicic Jr.	Forward	37	2-13	0-8	3-4	14	1	1	1	7
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	32	3-7	0-1	0-1	3	0	4	1	6
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	25	1-5	0-1	4-5	2	2	1	0	6
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	1	5
Cade Phillips	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Felix Okpara	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Bishop Boswell	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	37	5-15	2-7	10-14	3	2	1	0	22
Tre White	G	34	3-7	1-2	4-4	2	1	0	0	11
Kylan Boswell	G	27	2-8	0-3	6-7	7	1	1	0	10
Will Riley	Forward	20	1-9	0-4	8-9	5	0	0	0	10
Ben Humrichous	F	30	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Tomislav Ivisic	C	28	1-5	0-2	2-2	12	1	0	1	4
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jake Davis	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

100.5Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency100.5

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

37.1%Effective FG%33.3%

43.8%True Shooting %47.0%

9.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

45.2%Free Throw Rate70.6%

38.7%3-Point Rate45.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.