Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Louisville

53.8%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -116

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 79

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreKentucky 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricKentucky

67.1MMH Power Index63.9

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency106.3

16.4Net Efficiency8.9

6.0Strength of Schedule8.7

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

71.0Tempo69.9

56.9%Effective FG%53.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.4%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate38.0%

11.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–63.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.3), net efficiency (16.4–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–6.0), ball security (15.4–16.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–32.3).

Final

Louisville

85—93

Kentucky

Kentucky by 8 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATKentucky

31-70FG32-55

44.0%FG%58.0%

14-393PT11-21

36.0%3PT%52.0%

9-14FT18-28

64.0%FT%64.0%

31Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists23

7Turnovers11

3Steals6

—Blocks2

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	39	9-18	4-11	4-6	5	5	1	26
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	30	8-14	5-7	2-3	1	0	0	23
Noah Waterman	Forward	34	4-12	3-9	1-2	12	1	0	12
J'Vonne Hadley	G	38	4-11	0-2	2-3	6	1	1	10
Reyne Smith	Guard	34	4-12	2-9	0-0	3	0	0	10
James Scott	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	4
Khani Rooths	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamont Butler	Guard	32	10-10	6-6	7-12	3	6	0	0	33
Otega Oweh	G	26	7-11	1-2	2-4	1	3	2	0	17
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	31	4-11	2-5	2-2	8	2	2	0	12
Andrew Carr	Forward	30	4-7	0-0	2-2	9	4	1	2	10
Koby Brea	Guard	26	4-9	2-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	10
Amari Williams	Center	16	2-4	0-0	2-4	8	4	1	0	6
Brandon Garrison	F	24	1-2	0-0	3-4	4	4	0	0	5
Ansley Almonor	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Travis Perry	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

116.4Offensive Efficiency127.4

127.4Defensive Efficiency116.4

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

54.3%Effective FG%68.2%

55.4%True Shooting %68.1%

9.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

20.0%Free Throw Rate50.9%

55.7%3-Point Rate38.2%

1.14Assist / Turnover2.09

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.