Marquette

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Marquette

79.5%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -388

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarquette 69

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScoreDayton 79

Team Comparison

MarquetteMetricDayton

52.3MMH Power Index59.9

106.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

106.9Defensive Efficiency101.5

-0.9Net Efficiency7.0

4.2Strength of Schedule5.7

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.9Tempo68.3

50.5%Effective FG%52.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate47.6%

-0.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–52.3), offensive efficiency (108.5–106.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.9), net efficiency (7.0–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.9), offensive rebounding (29.3–26.7).

Final

Marquette

63—71

Dayton

Dayton by 8 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarquetteTEAM STATDayton

22-54FG29-61

41.0%FG%48.0%

9-293PT4-19

31.0%3PT%21.0%

10-15FT9-16

67.0%FT%56.0%

31Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists19

13Turnovers7

2Steals10

4Blocks2

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Ross	G	36	6-10	2-5	5-5	5	0	1	2	19
Kam Jones	Guard	29	6-13	2-5	4-4	5	4	0	0	18
Ben Gold	F	27	3-7	2-6	1-2	2	0	0	0	9
David Joplin	Forward	36	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	2	8
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	28	2-9	1-3	0-2	6	1	0	0	5
Zaide Lowery	G	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Damarius Owens	F	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Royce Parham	F	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tre Norman	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	0	0
Caedin Hamilton	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	34	6-9	3-4	0-0	2	2	3	0	15
Zed Key	Forward	29	6-8	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	2	15
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	36	7-17	0-5	0-0	5	1	3	0	14
Nate Santos	Forward	39	3-9	1-5	5-8	13	1	1	0	12
Malachi Smith	G	30	3-10	0-3	0-0	2	11	1	0	6
Amaël L'Etang	F	11	2-3	0-1	1-4	8	2	0	0	5
Posh Alexander	Guard	19	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	2	2	0	4
Jaiun Simon	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hamad Mousa	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

101.8Offensive Efficiency114.7

114.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

49.1%Effective FG%50.8%

51.5%True Shooting %51.7%

20.6%Turnover Rate11.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate26.2%

53.7%3-Point Rate31.1%

0.62Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Dayton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.