Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%Gonzaga

45.5%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -120

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 74

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreUConn 73

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricUConn

76.4MMH Power Index70.2

119.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

94.0Defensive Efficiency98.4

25.7Net Efficiency17.9

3.0Strength of Schedule6.3

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

70.4Tempo66.2

55.7%Effective FG%55.0%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

31.5%Free Throw Rate30.7%

18.1Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.2), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.3), defensive efficiency (94.0–98.4), net efficiency (25.7–17.9).

UConn COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.3–3.0), offensive rebounding (35.4–35.0).

Final

Gonzaga

71—77

UConn

UConn by 6 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATUConn

25-57FG27-59

44.0%FG%46.0%

6-163PT5-24

38.0%3PT%21.0%

15-19FT18-21

79.0%FT%86.0%

34Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists16

10Turnovers8

4Steals4

3Blocks4

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	38	6-12	4-6	5-6	4	2	1	0	21
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	6-15	1-4	3-4	4	7	2	0	16
Michael Ajayi	F	24	6-6	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	0	14
Braden Huff	F	28	4-10	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	2	8
Ben Gregg	Forward	16	1-4	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	1	5
Dusty Stromer	G	30	1-5	0-3	2-2	5	0	1	0	4
Graham Ike	F	12	1-3	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Nolan Hickman	Guard	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Liam McNeeley	Forward	37	7-13	2-7	10-12	8	4	0	0	26
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	23	5-9	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	3	12
Jaylin Stewart	F	19	4-5	2-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	10
Alex Karaban	F	34	3-10	0-7	2-3	5	1	1	0	8
Solo Ball	G	19	2-7	1-4	3-3	2	0	0	0	8
Hassan Diarra	Guard	36	2-8	0-4	1-1	3	7	2	0	5
Samson Johnson	Center	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Jayden Ross	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Aidan Mahaney	G	8	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Youssouf Singare	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

103.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency103.6

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

49.1%Effective FG%50.0%

53.8%True Shooting %55.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate11.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate35.6%

28.1%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UConn won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.