Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%Xavier

86.4%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -635

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 69

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreCincinnati 82

Team Comparison

XavierMetricCincinnati

49.5MMH Power Index61.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency105.3

112.4Defensive Efficiency97.3

-3.2Net Efficiency8.0

5.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.7Tempo69.4

51.7%Effective FG%50.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

28.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-2.3Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–49.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–112.4), net efficiency (8.0–-3.2), recent form (14.4–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–105.3), strength of schedule (5.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (51.7–50.6).

Final

Xavier

65—68

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 3 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATCincinnati

22-58FG22-58

38.0%FG%38.0%

6-193PT5-20

32.0%3PT%25.0%

15-17FT19-26

88.0%FT%73.0%

37Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists13

14Turnovers10

7Steals9

—Blocks4

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zach Freemantle	Forward	35	6-16	1-5	5-5	7	4	3	18
Ryan Conwell	G	32	6-13	3-8	2-3	6	0	1	17
Dailyn Swain	G	24	5-8	0-0	3-3	0	0	2	13
Jerome Hunter	Forward	19	2-4	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	7
Marcus Foster	Guard	30	2-7	2-4	0-0	5	0	0	6
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	34	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	9	1	2
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	14	0-6	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	2
John Hugley IV	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	29	5-13	1-7	3-4	4	2	2	0	14
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	31	4-4	0-0	4-6	6	1	1	1	12
Dillon Mitchell	F	33	4-5	0-0	3-5	10	2	2	1	11
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	26	4-10	1-2	1-2	2	2	2	1	10
Connor Hickman	G	20	3-7	2-4	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Day Day Thomas	G	22	1-5	1-3	5-6	4	1	2	0	8
Jizzle James	G	24	0-11	0-2	2-2	3	5	0	1	2
Arrinten Page	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tyler Betsey	F	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Reed	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

93.1Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency93.1

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

43.1%Effective FG%42.2%

49.2%True Shooting %48.3%

19.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.3%Free Throw Rate44.8%

32.8%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.