The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.2%The Citadel

92.8%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -1289

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 68

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 86

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricCentral Arkansas

35.6MMH Power Index54

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

116.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

-10.8Net Efficiency8.7

-1.3Strength of Schedule-3.9

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

66.3Tempo71.0

50.4%Effective FG%54.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-7.2Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–35.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–106.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–116.9), net efficiency (8.7–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-3.9).

Final

The Citadel

71—73

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 2 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

25-54FG26-67

46.0%FG%39.0%

16-353PT10-32

46.0%3PT%31.0%

5-9FT11-13

56.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists16

19Turnovers10

3Steals11

1Blocks4

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paxton Davidson	Guard	31	7-12	7-12	2-2	5	4	2	0	23
Colby McAllister	Guard	29	5-11	5-10	0-0	6	2	0	0	15
Sola Adebisi	F	21	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	8
Brody Fox	Guard	27	2-6	0-1	3-7	5	6	0	0	7
Cameron Glover	Guard	14	2-6	2-6	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Keynan Davis	G	26	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	4	1	0	5
John Adams	Forward	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Dante Kearse	F	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Christian Moore	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kam Roberts	Guard	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dominic Commisso	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Eze Wali	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	34	8-17	3-10	2-2	2	3	5	0	21
Elias Cato	Forward	27	5-10	1-2	8-8	5	1	0	2	19
Brayden Fagbemi	G	32	4-14	1-6	0-0	5	7	2	0	9
Ben Fox	Guard	24	2-7	2-6	1-1	3	1	0	0	7
Cole McCormick	F	18	2-6	2-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Diogo Seixas	Forward	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
Mike Evbagharu	G	16	1-6	0-2	0-2	4	0	1	0	2
Nehemiah Turner	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency99.6

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

61.1%Effective FG%46.3%

60.9%True Shooting %49.9%

26.7%Turnover Rate14.0%

16.7%Free Throw Rate19.4%

64.8%3-Point Rate47.8%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.