California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%California Baptist

46.6%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -115

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 72

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 72

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricMiddle Tennessee

58.3MMH Power Index52.5

106.5Offensive Efficiency109.6

99.0Defensive Efficiency105.7

7.5Net Efficiency3.9

1.8Strength of Schedule0.4

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

68.2Tempo68.8

48.8%Effective FG%52.2%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate33.2%

5.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–52.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–105.7), net efficiency (7.5–3.9), strength of schedule (1.8–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–106.5), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.8), ball security (16.7–17.9).

Final

California Baptist

64—75

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 11 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

20-64FG26-59

31.0%FG%44.0%

4-243PT8-23

17.0%3PT%35.0%

20-28FT15-22

71.0%FT%68.0%

41Rebounds44

13Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists8

7Turnovers11

4Steals6

3Blocks4

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	37	7-22	1-7	5-7	0	2	1	0	20
Javonte Johnson	Guard	31	4-11	3-10	3-4	3	0	1	0	14
AJ Braun	Forward	21	3-9	0-0	4-4	5	1	0	1	10
Kendal Coleman	Forward	31	2-10	0-2	2-6	14	0	0	0	6
Bradey Henige	F	17	2-3	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	0	6
Adam Moussa	Guard	35	1-5	0-4	2-2	3	3	1	0	4
Sam Silverstein	G	22	1-4	0-1	2-2	5	1	1	2	4
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camryn Weston	Guard	29	9-17	3-6	9-11	5	2	1	0	30
Jlynn Counter	G	30	4-7	3-5	1-2	6	1	1	0	12
Kamari Lands	G	28	3-10	0-2	4-5	5	3	1	0	10
Jestin Porter	G	29	3-7	1-5	0-1	3	0	0	0	7
Essam Mostafa	Forward	25	3-7	0-0	1-3	6	1	3	1	7
Tre Green	G	18	3-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Torey Alston	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Chris Loofe	F	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Justin Bufford	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Alec Oglesby	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

90.3Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency90.3

-15.5Net Efficiency15.5

34.4%Effective FG%50.8%

41.4%True Shooting %54.0%

9.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

43.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

37.5%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.