Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.9%Air Force

98.1%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -27.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -5163

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 62

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 90

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricNorthern Colorado

23MMH Power Index53.7

91.3Offensive Efficiency116.0

118.5Defensive Efficiency107.6

-27.2Net Efficiency8.4

6.2Strength of Schedule-4.3

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

67.4Tempo71.1

49.0%Effective FG%56.9%

21.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

35.9%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-18.3Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.6–118.5), net efficiency (8.4–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-4.3), free throw rate (35.9–27.8).

Final

Air Force

76—81

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 5 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

28-55FG28-53

51.0%FG%53.0%

1-183PT5-13

6.0%3PT%38.0%

19-33FT20-23

58.0%FT%87.0%

23Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists12

6Turnovers13

8Steals—

1Blocks1

19Fouls25

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Marshall	G	34	10-14	0-1	3-6	2	0	1	1	23
Wesley Celichowski	C	20	3-6	0-2	6-9	2	0	0	0	12
Caleb Walker	F	20	5-7	0-0	0-1	2	2	1	0	10
Sam Springer	F	15	1-4	1-3	5-6	1	0	1	0	8
Luke Kearney	F	20	2-5	0-2	3-5	3	0	2	0	7
Will Cooper	F	14	3-4	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	7
Byron Brown	Guard	13	2-2	0-0	1-4	1	1	0	0	5
Ethan Taylor	Guard	29	1-9	0-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	28	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	3	0	2
Sam Duskin	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
A.J. Patterson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	36	8-11	0-0	7-9	11	1	0	23
Zach Bloch	G	25	5-6	3-4	2-2	1	1	0	15
Brock Wisne	F	24	5-6	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	10
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	28	2-9	1-3	4-4	5	1	0	9
Marcell McCreary	G	22	3-5	1-2	2-2	6	0	0	9
Egan Shields	C	14	2-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	7
Jaron Rillie	Guard	32	2-9	0-3	2-2	5	7	0	6
Quinn Denker	G	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	2
William Humer	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Luca Colceag	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

106.6Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

51.8%Effective FG%57.5%

53.8%True Shooting %63.4%

8.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

60.0%Free Throw Rate43.4%

32.7%3-Point Rate24.5%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.