Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Bowling Green

72.4%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -262

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 77

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricToledo

54.7MMH Power Index58.8

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

99.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

13.5Net Efficiency6.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule2.3

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

72.2Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

38.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

9.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Bowling Green

76—77

Toledo

Toledo by 1 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATToledo

30-57FG31-61

53.0%FG%51.0%

5-173PT8-16

29.0%3PT%50.0%

11-19FT7-13

58.0%FT%54.0%

31Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists11

11Turnovers11

8Steals7

1Blocks3

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	21	6-9	0-1	4-6	2	4	1	0	16
Justin Thomas	G	39	6-10	2-4	0-1	3	4	3	0	14
Troy Glover II	F	34	6-8	0-0	1-2	8	1	1	0	13
Sam Towns	F	40	4-10	0-3	1-3	9	3	1	1	9
Josiah Shackelford	G	23	4-10	1-4	0-1	1	1	1	0	9
Javon Ruffin	G	20	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Mayar Wol	F	15	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	6
Aiden Goins	F	6	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Makhi Leach	G	2	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	33	8-10	4-4	3-4	6	2	1	1	23
Sonny Wilson	G	38	5-16	0-2	2-6	7	3	3	0	12
Sean Craig	F	34	4-8	2-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Mynor Strong	G	30	4-10	1-3	1-2	2	1	2	0	10
Austin Parks	C	28	5-6	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	2	10
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	15	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	14	2-5	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	0	5
Will James Jr.	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

111.6Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

57.0%Effective FG%57.4%

57.6%True Shooting %57.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate21.3%

29.8%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Toledo won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.