Massachusetts

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Massachusetts

79.0%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL161.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -376

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 77

Projected Total161.7

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Team Comparison

MassachusettsMetricToledo

51.5MMH Power Index58.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency116.0

106.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

3.6Net Efficiency6.4

0.9Strength of Schedule2.3

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

72.8Tempo69.8

53.2%Effective FG%55.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

37.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

2.6Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–51.5), offensive efficiency (116.0–110.3), net efficiency (6.4–3.6), strength of schedule (2.3–0.9).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.7–109.6), offensive rebounding (33.7–30.4), free throw rate (37.7–30.3).

Final

Massachusetts

67—77

Toledo

Toledo by 10 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MassachusettsTEAM STATToledo

26-63FG31-54

41.0%FG%57.0%

4-213PT7-20

19.0%3PT%35.0%

11-21FT8-14

52.0%FT%57.0%

38Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds3

9Assists21

12Turnovers12

10Steals10

2Blocks5

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	26	8-12	0-0	5-10	6	1	0	0	21
Danny Carbuccia	G	31	5-10	0-2	1-2	4	5	2	0	11
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	35	3-12	3-11	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Jayden Ndjigue	G	27	2-6	0-0	3-3	6	1	4	1	7
Dimitri Clerc	F	14	3-4	0-0	1-4	6	0	0	0	7
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	25	2-8	0-2	1-2	3	1	1	1	5
K'Jei Parker	G	17	2-6	0-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Isaiah Placide	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dwayne Wimbley Jr.	F	19	0-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	38	8-9	1-2	1-1	2	4	1	0	18
Mynor Strong	G	27	7-11	3-6	0-0	5	0	2	0	17
Sean Craig	F	35	5-6	1-2	4-7	11	2	1	3	15
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	37	5-15	2-7	0-0	4	7	3	0	12
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	17	4-7	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	1	8
Austin Parks	C	28	2-3	0-0	3-6	4	4	2	1	7
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Will James Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

95.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency95.2

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

44.4%Effective FG%63.9%

45.9%True Shooting %63.5%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate25.9%

33.3%3-Point Rate37.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Toledo won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.