Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Toledo

78.4%Akron

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAkron -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAkron -363

Akron

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 77

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreAkron 87

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricAkron

58.8MMH Power Index65.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency122.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

6.4Net Efficiency19.4

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.8

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency16.0

69.8Tempo71.6

55.1%Effective FG%58.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

30.3%Free Throw Rate28.9%

4.5Average Margin13.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Akron HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAkron holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–58.8), offensive efficiency (122.7–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.6), net efficiency (19.4–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.3–-2.8), ball security (14.6–15.2), free throw rate (30.3–28.9).

Final

Toledo

76—79

Akron

Akron by 3 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATAkron

28-56FG33-71

50.0%FG%46.0%

10-243PT10-34

42.0%3PT%29.0%

10-13FT3-9

77.0%FT%33.0%

32Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists15

11Turnovers8

6Steals5

2Blocks4

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	38	8-15	3-7	2-3	6	6	4	1	21
Austin Parks	C	32	5-6	0-0	3-3	7	2	0	0	13
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	19	5-6	2-2	1-1	0	0	1	0	13
Sean Craig	F	32	3-6	3-6	1-2	6	1	0	0	10
Sonny Wilson	G	39	3-14	0-4	1-2	6	8	0	0	7
Mynor Strong	G	23	2-6	1-3	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	5
Will James Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Akron

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amani Lyles	F	31	7-12	1-3	0-1	16	2	0	1	15
Tavari Johnson	G	31	7-17	1-6	0-1	2	5	1	0	15
Shammah Scott	G	33	5-15	2-8	0-2	3	2	1	0	12
Bowen Hardman	G	29	4-8	4-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	12
Evan Mahaffey	G	33	4-5	0-0	0-1	6	4	0	3	8
Eric Mahaffey	G	19	3-8	1-5	1-2	5	0	1	0	8
Sharron Young	G	17	2-5	1-4	2-2	1	1	2	0	7
Zach Halligan	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Marvin Musiime-Kamali	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

111.3Offensive Efficiency115.7

115.7Defensive Efficiency111.3

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

58.9%Effective FG%53.5%

61.1%True Shooting %52.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate11.5%

23.2%Free Throw Rate12.7%

42.9%3-Point Rate47.9%

1.73Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Akron won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.