UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%UNC Wilmington

76.9%Yale

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADYale -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.4

MODEL MONEYLINEYale -333

Yale

23-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 69

Projected Total146.4

Projected ScoreYale 77

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricYale

59.2MMH Power Index65.4

114.1Offensive Efficiency121.4

101.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

12.4Net Efficiency15.6

-1.5Strength of Schedule1.6

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.9

66.9Tempo64.5

51.1%Effective FG%56.8%

14.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %33.3%

41.7%Free Throw Rate34.4%

8.3Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Yale HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMYale holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.4–59.2), offensive efficiency (121.4–114.1), net efficiency (15.6–12.4), strength of schedule (1.6–-1.5).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.7–105.8), offensive rebounding (35.8–33.3), free throw rate (41.7–34.4).

Final

UNC Wilmington

68—67

Yale

UNC Wilmington by 1 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATYale

25-69FG25-67

36.0%FG%37.0%

10-263PT8-27

38.0%3PT%30.0%

8-14FT9-22

57.0%FT%41.0%

48Rebounds49

19Offensive Rebounds20

15Assists16

8Turnovers8

4Steals5

2Blocks5

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian May	G	33	5-14	4-9	2-2	8	2	1	0	16
Nolan Hodge	G	34	3-11	2-5	5-5	6	3	1	0	13
Madison Durr	G	22	5-13	2-4	1-2	8	1	1	0	13
Patrick Wessler	F	28	5-12	0-0	0-5	9	4	1	0	10
Greedy Williams	G	32	3-7	1-3	0-0	4	4	0	0	7
Noah Ross	G	30	2-8	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	2	5
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Celiscar	F	34	8-13	4-5	3-4	12	5	0	0	23
Casey Simmons	G	32	6-9	1-2	3-4	4	2	1	1	16
Nick Townsend	F	35	5-8	0-2	1-6	9	5	1	0	11
Trevor Mullin	G	29	2-11	2-7	1-2	4	2	1	1	7
Samson Aletan	C	26	2-7	0-0	0-3	9	1	0	0	4
Devon Arlington	G	12	1-2	1-2	1-3	1	0	0	1	4
Jordan Brathwaite	G	14	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Riley Fox	F	13	0-8	0-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	0
Jack Sullivan	F	5	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

104.5Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency104.5

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

43.5%Effective FG%43.3%

44.9%True Shooting %43.3%

12.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

20.3%Free Throw Rate32.8%

37.7%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.88Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.