South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.4%South Alabama

87.6%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -706

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreAuburn 84

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricAuburn

51.4MMH Power Index64.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency118.8

103.9Defensive Efficiency113.0

6.4Net Efficiency5.8

-3.7Strength of Schedule7.5

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

67.4Tempo69.8

53.2%Effective FG%53.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

39.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

4.3Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–51.4), offensive efficiency (118.8–110.3), strength of schedule (7.5–-3.7), recent form (8.0–3.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.9–113.0), net efficiency (6.4–5.8), shooting efficiency (53.2–53.1).

Final

South Alabama

67—78

Auburn

Auburn by 11 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATAuburn

27-60FG24-61

45.0%FG%39.0%

7-203PT16-44

35.0%3PT%36.0%

6-11FT14-17

55.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists18

5Turnovers9

7Steals4

2Blocks5

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	38	12-26	1-3	4-9	8	6	0	0	29
Jayden Cooper	G	34	5-13	4-8	0-0	0	1	1	0	14
Stephen Williams	F	31	7-11	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	0	14
John Broom	G	37	1-4	1-4	2-2	7	2	0	1	5
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	28	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	5
Randy Brady	F	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	5	2	1	0
JJ Wheat	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	40	6-15	3-10	6-7	6	1	0	2	21
Kevin Overton	G	36	7-13	7-13	0-0	7	4	0	0	21
Kaden Magwood	G	17	4-8	3-7	3-3	0	3	0	0	14
Tahaad Pettiford	G	23	4-11	1-7	2-3	5	4	0	1	11
Elyjah Freeman	G	36	1-6	1-5	1-2	10	4	1	0	4
Simon Walker	G	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	24	0-3	0-0	2-2	5	2	2	1	2
Filip Jovic	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

104.4Offensive Efficiency121.5

121.5Defensive Efficiency104.4

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

50.8%Effective FG%52.5%

51.4%True Shooting %56.5%

7.9%Turnover Rate13.8%

18.3%Free Throw Rate27.9%

33.3%3-Point Rate72.1%

3.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Auburn won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.