Saint Joseph's

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Saint Joseph's

69.7%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -230

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 70

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Team Comparison

Saint Joseph'sMetricColorado State

52.5MMH Power Index55.4

106.5Offensive Efficiency117.1

102.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

4.3Net Efficiency7.2

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.4

6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.7Tempo64.7

49.8%Effective FG%58.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

31.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

2.9Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.5), offensive efficiency (117.1–106.5), net efficiency (7.2–4.3), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.2).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–109.9), recent form (6.7–4.3), ball security (17.0–18.3).

Final

Saint Joseph's

69—64

Colorado State

Saint Joseph's by 5 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Joseph'sTEAM STATColorado State

23-58FG21-58

40.0%FG%36.0%

7-233PT7-30

30.0%3PT%23.0%

16-20FT15-20

80.0%FT%75.0%

41Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists12

14Turnovers11

8Steals6

5Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Williford	G	34	4-9	1-3	4-6	6	3	1	0	13
Derek Simpson	G	33	4-12	1-6	4-4	9	3	3	1	13
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	30	5-8	3-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
Anthony Finkley	F	18	2-2	2-2	4-4	1	1	1	0	10
Dasear Haskins	G	31	3-12	0-4	2-4	7	0	0	1	8
Justice Ajogbor	C	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	6
Jaden Smith	C	16	1-4	0-1	2-2	6	1	0	1	4
Khaafiq Myers	G	16	1-7	0-3	0-0	1	2	3	0	2

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jevin Muniz	G	37	5-12	3-8	1-2	5	5	1	0	14
Jase Butler	G	33	2-9	1-5	6-8	2	2	0	0	11
Carey Booth	F	21	4-7	2-3	0-0	6	0	0	1	10
Rashaan Mbemba	F	19	3-7	0-0	3-4	6	1	0	0	9
Jojo McIver	G	22	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	16	1-3	0-2	4-4	4	2	2	0	6
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	24	2-8	1-6	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Kyle Jorgensen	F	24	1-8	0-5	1-2	9	1	0	1	3
Darnez Slater	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

103.0Offensive Efficiency95.5

95.5Defensive Efficiency103.0

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

45.7%Effective FG%42.2%

51.1%True Shooting %47.4%

20.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

34.5%Free Throw Rate34.5%

39.7%3-Point Rate51.7%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.