Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Dayton

60.6%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -154

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 70

Projected Total144.4

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 74

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricUNC Wilmington

59.9MMH Power Index59.2

108.5Offensive Efficiency114.1

101.5Defensive Efficiency101.7

7.0Net Efficiency12.4

5.7Strength of Schedule-1.5

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

68.3Tempo66.9

52.0%Effective FG%51.1%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

47.6%Free Throw Rate41.7%

4.8Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–59.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–101.7), strength of schedule (5.7–-1.5), recent form (6.4–5.5).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.1–108.5), net efficiency (12.4–7.0), ball security (14.8–16.9).

Final

Dayton

80—61

UNC Wilmington

Dayton by 19 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

29-56FG24-57

52.0%FG%42.0%

9-253PT3-21

36.0%3PT%14.0%

13-16FT10-16

81.0%FT%63.0%

38Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists7

11Turnovers9

7Steals8

1Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	33	8-13	2-5	2-2	2	2	3	0	20
Amaël L'Etang	F	20	3-6	1-3	4-5	7	2	0	1	11
Bryce Heard	G	9	4-6	1-2	1-1	2	0	0	0	10
Javon Bennett	G	37	3-11	1-6	2-2	2	4	1	0	9
Jordan Derkack	G	26	1-5	1-3	4-6	13	2	1	0	7
Jaiun Simon	F	19	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	7
Jacob Conner	F	18	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Keonte Jones	G	32	3-6	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	6
Malcolm Thomas	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Damon Friery	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sean Pouedet	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makai Grant	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Will Maxwell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick Wessler	F	26	6-10	0-0	0-2	7	0	1	0	12
Noah Ross	G	29	4-8	0-1	2-2	4	2	3	0	10
Madison Durr	G	22	4-7	0-1	2-4	0	1	1	1	10
Nolan Hodge	G	33	3-8	2-6	1-2	4	1	1	1	9
Christian May	G	30	4-10	0-5	0-0	3	1	1	1	8
Greedy Williams	G	34	2-7	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	1	7
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
JoJo Fullwood	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Makel Smith	G	1	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grady Whitt	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

125.8Offensive Efficiency95.9

95.9Defensive Efficiency125.8

29.9Net Efficiency-29.9

59.8%Effective FG%44.7%

62.9%True Shooting %47.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

28.6%Free Throw Rate28.1%

44.6%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.45Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Dayton won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.