Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.3%Illinois State

83.7%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -513

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 73

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreAuburn 82

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricAuburn

54.3MMH Power Index64.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency118.8

101.4Defensive Efficiency113.0

9.2Net Efficiency5.8

1.0Strength of Schedule7.5

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

67.5Tempo69.8

54.3%Effective FG%53.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

32.0%Free Throw Rate43.8%

6.2Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–54.3), offensive efficiency (118.8–110.6), strength of schedule (7.5–1.0), recent form (8.0–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–113.0), net efficiency (9.2–5.8), shooting efficiency (54.3–53.1).

Final

Illinois State

66—88

Auburn

Auburn by 22 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATAuburn

25-54FG34-56

46.0%FG%61.0%

10-253PT12-21

40.0%3PT%57.0%

6-7FT8-11

86.0%FT%73.0%

26Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists20

18Turnovers9

2Steals13

3Blocks4

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	29	7-12	3-5	0-1	2	2	0	0	17
Ty Pence	G	27	5-8	3-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Chase Walker	F	22	6-8	0-1	1-1	7	2	0	0	13
Boden Skunberg	G	35	3-13	2-9	0-0	2	4	0	0	8
Landon Wolf	G	33	1-4	0-2	5-5	5	1	1	0	7
Johnny Kinziger	G	22	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	5
Mason Klabo	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Landon Moore	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Brandon Lieb	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	38	10-16	2-4	2-2	6	3	2	0	24
Kevin Overton	G	32	5-5	5-5	1-2	3	2	2	1	16
Filip Jovic	F	26	6-8	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	0	13
Tahaad Pettiford	G	32	4-9	2-5	2-3	3	5	2	2	12
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	24	3-5	3-3	0-0	4	3	1	0	9
Elyjah Freeman	G	25	2-5	0-1	2-2	3	2	3	1	6
Kaden Magwood	G	11	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Blake Muschalek	G	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Reed Trapp	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Simon Walker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

102.6Offensive Efficiency136.9

136.9Defensive Efficiency102.6

-34.2Net Efficiency34.2

55.6%Effective FG%71.4%

57.6%True Shooting %71.9%

27.6%Turnover Rate14.2%

13.0%Free Throw Rate19.6%

46.3%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.83Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Auburn won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.