Tulsa

30-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Tulsa

59.5%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.6

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -147

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTulsa 78

Projected Total158.6

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

TulsaMetricNew Mexico

64.8MMH Power Index63.7

121.1Offensive Efficiency114.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency100.2

16.3Net Efficiency14.6

0.0Strength of Schedule2.0

10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

70.2Tempo70.7

55.4%Effective FG%53.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.4%Free Throw Rate36.5%

11.5Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tulsa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTulsa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.8–63.7), offensive efficiency (121.1–114.8), net efficiency (16.3–14.6), recent form (10.3–8.3).

New Mexico COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.8), strength of schedule (2.0–0.0), ball security (14.8–15.4).

Final

Tulsa

74—69

New Mexico

Tulsa by 5 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TulsaTEAM STATNew Mexico

24-58FG24-68

41.0%FG%35.0%

12-323PT7-33

38.0%3PT%21.0%

14-18FT14-18

78.0%FT%78.0%

39Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists13

14Turnovers10

7Steals8

7Blocks—

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Tulsa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Green	F	29	3-10	0-6	7-8	5	2	0	2	13
Ade Popoola	G	34	4-8	4-7	0-0	6	2	1	1	12
Miles Barnstable	G	28	4-10	3-8	0-0	3	0	0	2	11
Tylen Riley	G	29	2-11	0-1	6-8	6	5	0	0	10
Jaylen Lawal	G	16	4-6	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	10
Tyler Behrend	F	22	3-7	1-3	0-0	8	2	2	1	7
KJ Martin Jr.	F	8	2-2	1-1	1-2	0	2	0	0	6
Myles Rigsby	G	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Ian Smikle	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
Romad Dean	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jake Hall	G	37	5-14	1-10	9-11	2	1	0	20
JT Rock	C	16	5-10	2-6	2-2	6	1	0	14
Deyton Albury	G	30	4-7	0-2	1-2	7	2	2	9
Tomislav Buljan	F	24	4-13	1-3	0-0	7	1	3	9
Uriah Tenette	G	33	2-9	2-6	2-2	3	4	1	8
Luke Haupt	G	35	3-8	0-2	0-1	5	3	2	6
Tajavis Miller	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Antonio Chol	F	16	0-5	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

104.1Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency104.1

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

51.7%Effective FG%40.4%

55.6%True Shooting %45.1%

20.1%Turnover Rate13.8%

31.0%Free Throw Rate26.5%

55.2%3-Point Rate48.5%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Tulsa won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.